If we beat Houston and SMU and Houston somehow manage to get in the top 50 on selection Sunday we will have a total of 6. That would put us on pretty equal footing as many of the other teams on this list. Of course a few of them may also pick up more top 50 wins.
If Houston is #51 and the committee draws a hard line at 50 but doesn't even consider 3 Houston wins...that's just an insane way to do things. At that point you are saying #50 carry's so much more weight than #51 which is obviously ridiculous.
Either way I am kinda hoping for a 5 seed for several reasons. I am just talking about what our team may or may not deserve. If we win out I think they deserve a 4. I still think they will probably get a 5 unless all the right teams win and lose and of course we still would have to run the table which I I would give us a 33% chance at this point. We should win our first two games (maybe 75% chance) and then 50-50 at best against SMU.