Conference Play Predictions

[Queens_NYC]

UConn - Wed, 1/1 (Q2)

@Tulane - Sat, 1/4 (Q2)

Tulsa - Wed, 1/8 (Q3)

@UCF - Sat, 1/11 (Q2)

@Memphis - Thur, 1/16 (Q1)

ECU - Sun, 1/19 (Q4)

@Temple - Wed, 1/22 (Q1)

SMU - Tues, 1/28 (Q3)

Houston - Sat, 2/1 (Q2)

@Wichita State - Thurs, 2/6 (Q1)

@UConn - Sun, 2/9 (Q1)

Memphis - Thurs, 2/13 (Q1)

@ECU - Sun, 2/16 (Q3)

UCF - Wed, 2/19 (Q3)

Wichita State - Sun, 2/23 (Q1)

@Houston - Sun, 3/1 (Q1)

@USF - Tues, 3/3 (Q3)

Temple - Sat, 3/7 (Q2)


What do you think our record will be?

 

[cincyguy13]

UConn - Wed, 1/1 (Q2)

@Tulane - Sat, 1/4 (Q2)

Tulsa - Wed, 1/8 (Q3)

@UCF - Sat, 1/11 (Q2)

@Memphis - Thur, 1/16 (Q1)

ECU - Sun, 1/19 (Q4)

@Temple - Wed, 1/22 (Q1)

SMU - Tues, 1/28 (Q3)

Houston - Sat, 2/1 (Q2)

@Wichita State - Thurs, 2/6 (Q1)

@UConn - Sun, 2/9 (Q1)

Memphis - Thurs, 2/13 (Q1)

@ECU - Sun, 2/16 (Q3)

UCF - Wed, 2/19 (Q3)

Wichita State - Sun, 2/23 (Q1)

@Houston - Sun, 3/1 (Q1)

@USF - Tues, 3/3 (Q3)

Temple - Sat, 3/7 (Q2)


What do you think our record will be?

My goal would be at least 12-13 wins. It all depends on Jarron. If it’s Jarron of this year, 10 wins. If it’s Jarron of last year, 14-15 wins

 

[skyblade]

Based on what I've seen up to this point I'm going with 11-7 (and needing an automatic bid to make the NCAA tournament). If we improve and play like we have the potential to, I could see us getting to 13-5 (bubble team), but we are starting to run out of time.

 

[Alum2013]

Hopefully 10days off will do wonders getting Cumberland more up to speed, getting people mentally straight, and people on the same page. We might not turn it around this year but I think we've seen glimpses and with recruiting seeming to be on the up compared to previous years I think we'll be okay going forward.

 

[cincyguy13]

Based on what I've seen up to this point I'm going with 11-7 (and needing an automatic bid to make the NCAA tournament). If we improve and play like we have the potential to, I could see us getting to 13-5 (bubble team), but we are starting to run out of time.

I do think this team has been playing somewhat better. I'm still holding out hope they can improve more. Maybe that's crazy, but I would take 13-5 right now. I feel like 13-5 gets us in easy. Too many bad teams this year and they have to get 68 teams.

 

[Queens_NYC]

I do think this team has been playing somewhat better. I'm still holding out hope they can improve more. Maybe that's crazy, but I would take 13-5 right now. I feel like 13-5 gets us in easy. Too many bad teams this year and they have to get 68 teams.

A 13-5 AAC record alone will not get us into the tournament. At the moment we have 7 potential Q1 games in league play. If we lose 5 of those, our poor record in Q1 games (let's say it's 2-8) will likely not even put us firmly on the bubble for the tournament.

We need to come with a Tennessee caliber effort and execution night in and night out in the AAC to get the wins needed for a potential at-large bid.

I think the inconsistent play that has marred our season so far will still rear its ugly head in conference play and we finish 11-7.

If we can start 4-0 and get some early road wins though, I'd be much more optimistic about our chances in a lot of those Q1 games as they come about.

 

[mdchick]

8-8 seems right with a semis loss in the conference tourney, doesn’t mean I’m given up on Johnny brannen, but it will take 2 years til he gets us back to the NCAA tourney

 

[cincyguy13]

A 13-5 AAC record alone will not get us into the tournament. At the moment we have 7 potential Q1 games in league play. If we lose 5 of those, our poor record in Q1 games (let's say it's 2-8) will likely not even put us firmly on the bubble for the tournament.

We need to come with a Tennessee caliber effort and execution night in and night out in the AAC to get the wins needed for a potential at-large bid.

I think the inconsistent play that has marred our season so far will still rear its ugly head in conference play and we finish 11-7.

If we can start 4-0 and get some early road wins though, I'd be much more optimistic about our chances in a lot of those Q1 games as they come about.

I think 13-5 gets us in easy. Everyone sucks this year.

 

[Jon Rycek]

UConn - Wed, 1/1 (Q2)

@Tulane - Sat, 1/4 (Q2)

Tulsa - Wed, 1/8 (Q3)

@UCF - Sat, 1/11 (Q2)

@Memphis - Thur, 1/16 (Q1)

ECU - Sun, 1/19 (Q4)

@Temple - Wed, 1/22 (Q1)

SMU - Tues, 1/28 (Q3)

Houston - Sat, 2/1 (Q2)

@Wichita State - Thurs, 2/6 (Q1)

@UConn - Sun, 2/9 (Q1)

Memphis - Thurs, 2/13 (Q1)

@ECU - Sun, 2/16 (Q3)

UCF - Wed, 2/19 (Q3)

Wichita State - Sun, 2/23 (Q1)

@Houston - Sun, 3/1 (Q1)

@USF - Tues, 3/3 (Q3)

Temple - Sat, 3/7 (Q2)


What do you think our record will be?

14-4 give or take 1

 

[cincyguy13]

I’m am very curious how this team can improve over the next 10 days. If Jarron can finally get healthy. Can Harvey not look completely lost? Can MAW continue to improve? We have a tough game to open up conference. After that it gets easier for a few games. UConn is a big one.

 

[sedziobs]

A 13-5 AAC record alone will not get us into the tournament. At the moment we have 7 potential Q1 games in league play. If we lose 5 of those, our poor record in Q1 games (let's say it's 2-8) will likely not even put us firmly on the bubble for the tournament.

If all five losses are against Q1 opponents, that means we will have swept the Q2 games without adding any more bad losses. I think we would be in with a 2-8 Q1 record and something like 6-1 against Q2.

I'd say 12-6 puts us on the bubble. Torvik has us going 10-8, so we definitely need to play better.

 

[justinhub2003]

The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney.

Here why:
Bowling green is now a tier 3 loss after dropping back to back games to horrible teams

Colgate is a tier 3 loss

And then tenn just lost Lamont turner for the year. They were a farce even with him, they hadn’t really beat any one good and now without turner will get pounded in the Sec. my guess is that CJB’s first top 50 win might not even be top 75 by years end.

So we have 2 dreadfully bad losses in the same season, a tier 3 win against a very disappointing Vermont team and a home win against an overrated Tennessee team that is likely on a huge down turn.


This is the worst non conference resume UC has had since 2012 and sure that team went to the sweet 16 but that team also played in the big east with tons and tons of opportunity to corrects its resume.


This season is a wash. I guess we could always hope for some conference tourney magic but their are 4 or 5 teams that I’d picked ahead of UC in that tourney.

Just gotta hope next year Is better. It’s all we can do.

I predicted 10-8 In the vote. But I’ll just do it game by game and see what I think hsppens:
UConn: win
@tulane: loss
Tulsa: win
@ucf: win
@memphis: loss
Ecu : win
@temple: loss
Smu: win
Houston: loss
@WSU : loss
@Uconn : loss
Memphis : loss
@ECU : win
UCF : win
WSU : loss
@Houston loss
@south Florida : loss
Temple : win

8-10

So when I do a game by game matchup I come up with 8-10 just because I think Ron hunter is going to give them hell at Tulane, and I don’t think I’ve seen enough from Brannen to say he is going to win a lot of road games.

We need win 13 games just to get to 20 wins. I just have a hard time finding 13 games we should win

 

[Goldpanner]

The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney.

Here why:
Bowling green is now a tier 3 loss after dropping back to back games to horrible teams

Colgate is a tier 3 loss

And then tenn just lost Lamont turner for the year. They were a farce even with him, they hadn’t really beat any one good and now without turner will get pounded in the Sec. my guess is that CJB’s first top 50 win might not even be top 75 by years end.

So we have 2 dreadfully bad losses in the same season, a tier 3 win against a very disappointing Vermont team and a home win against an overrated Tennessee team that is likely on a huge down turn.


This is the worst non conference resume UC has had since 2012 and sure that team went to the sweet 16 but that team also played in the big east with tons and tons of opportunity to corrects its resume.


This season is a wash. I guess we could always hope for some conference tourney magic but their are 4 or 5 teams that I’d picked ahead of UC in that tourney.

Just gotta hope next year Is better. It’s all we can do.

I predicted 10-8 In the vote. But I’ll just do it game by game and see what I think hsppens:
UConn: win
@tulane: loss
Tulsa: win
@ucf: win
@memphis: loss
Ecu : win
@temple: loss
Smu: win
Houston: loss
@WSU : loss
@Uconn : loss
Memphis : loss
@ECU : win
UCF : win
WSU : loss
@Houston loss
@south Florida : loss
Temple : win

8-10

So when I do a game by game matchup I come up with 8-10 just because I think Ron hunter is going to give them hell at Tulane, and I don’t think I’ve seen enough from Brannen to say he is going to win a lot of road games.

We need win 13 games just to get to 20 wins. I just have a hard time finding 13 games we should win

I sure hope they beat UConn. I flew 6000 miles to go to that game

 

[sedziobs]

The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney.

I assume you meant 16-2. Let's assume that Tennessee does fall out of the top 75 and we have zero Q1 or Q2 OOC wins and two bad losses. In league play we are likely going to have 7-8 Q1 games and 4-5 Q2 games. So if we go 15-3, we would have at least 8 quality wins and only 8 total losses. That is definitely a tournament resume.

It's actually very similar to Temple last season. They went 8-7 in Q1/Q2 games with 1 bad loss, then lost to Wichita St in the first round of the AAC tournament but still got an at-large bid. So 15-3 probably gets us in even in a worst case scenario. But if we get some breaks (Vermont/Tennessee top 75, Houston/Temple top 30, Tulane/USF top 135), we can lose a few more games and still be on the bubble.

 

[justinhub2003]

I assume you meant 16-2. Let's assume that Tennessee does fall out of the top 75 and we have zero Q1 or Q2 OOC wins and two bad losses. In league play we are likely going to have 7-8 Q1 games and 4-5 Q2 games. So if we go 15-3, we would have at least 8 quality wins and only 8 total losses. That is definitely a tournament resume.

It's actually very similar to Temple last season. They went 8-7 in Q1/Q2 games with 1 bad loss, then lost to Wichita St in the first round of the AAC tournament but still got an at-large bid. So 15-3 probably gets us in even in a worst case scenario. But if we get some breaks (Vermont/Tennessee top 75, Houston/Temple top 30, Tulane/USF top 135), we can lose a few more games and still be on the bubble.

And what have you seen from this team that says we can go 15-3?

This is the worst offense we’ve had since 2015, and the worst defense
Since 2009

15-3 is what we did under elite defensive coaching.

But to this point I see zero reason why we should ever expect this team to go 15-3

I’m not one but confident about beating UConn next Wednesday at home.

My point is.... the season is a wash because unless some miracle occurs, we have no chance to go 15-3

Add in that if we do go 15-3 the chances are we lose 3 games on the road which hurts your tier 1 wins.

I’m borderline confident that we lose twice to WSU, Memphis and Houston. They have better players or better coaches.

 

[sedziobs]

I voted for 11-7, and I noted earlier that Torvik predicts 10-8. Neither would get us to the bubble. My rebuttal was to your claim "The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney."

 

[justinhub2003]

I voted for 11-7, and I noted earlier that Torvik predicts 10-8. Neither would get us to the bubble. My rebuttal was to your claim "The facts are we absolutely must either go undefeated or 14-2 or better to make the tourney."

Obviously I mean 16-2

I think those q3 losses will haunt us

 

[cincrulz11]

just say f it and put all the eggs in the win the conference tournament basket.

 

[cincyguy13]

And what have you seen from this team that says we can go 15-3?

This is the worst offense we’ve had since 2015, and the worst defense
Since 2009

15-3 is what we did under elite defensive coaching.

But to this point I see zero reason why we should ever expect this team to go 15-3

I’m not one but confident about beating UConn next Wednesday at home.

My point is.... the season is a wash because unless some miracle occurs, we have no chance to go 15-3

Add in that if we do go 15-3 the chances are we lose 3 games on the road which hurts your tier 1 wins.

I’m borderline confident that we lose twice to WSU, Memphis and Houston. They have better players or better coaches.

I mean, to this point in the season, it's hard to disagree. There has been nothing so far this season that says we can pull it together and play better. But when things are going bad, its always hard to imagine them getting better until they do. I just find it hard to believe that we can be this bad all season. I think we eventually have to improve to some extent. Maybe not a top 25 team, but top 40ish. I could be dead wrong. Just holding out hope.

 

[cincyguy13]

If we don't have the Bowling Green loss, or the random Colgate loss, it's probably exactly where we thought we would be. At least record wise. Jarron hurt and playing terrible hurts this team a lot. Not blaming anyone, just is what it is. Kind of hard to get a grasp on this team if he is truly hurt. We will find out when we play Uconn. They are a decent team.