Scenario's for Final 5 games

[Bearcat_NTS]

Final 5 games-
2/21 @Houston
2/25 vs UCF
2/28 @Tulane
3/4 @Tulsa
3/8 vs Memphis


All Scenario's below:

 

[Doogle]

Final 5 games-
2/21 @Houston
2/25 vs UCF
2/28 @Tulane
3/4 @Tulsa
3/8 vs Memphis


All Scenario's below:

No reason that they can't win all 5. Have they given us reason to believe they will? No.

 

[ucswais]

5-0? Welcome to the dance. No harm, no foul the last 2 weeks.

4-1? AAC tourney becomes interesting, other midmajor finals become interesting, selection sunday becomes the highest rated show in town

3-2 .... AAC tourney is critical. Might even need to win the thing.

2-3.... just hoping for the autobid

1-4, 0-5, basically impossible

My personal opinions...
Houston 80%
UCF 95%
Tulane 85%
Tulsa 60%
Memphis 80%

4-1, still hanging around the "barely in" line heading to Hartford. Take your blood pressure meds everyone.

 

[Bearcat_NTS]

5-0? Welcome to the dance. No harm, no foul the last 2 weeks.

4-1? AAC tourney becomes interesting, other midmajor finals become interesting, selection sunday becomes the highest rated show in town

3-2 .... AAC tourney is critical. Might even need to win the thing.

2-3.... just hoping for the autobid

1-4, 0-5, basically impossible

My personal opinions...
Houston 80%
UCF 95%
Tulane 85%
Tulsa 60%
Memphis 80%

4-1, still hanging around the "barely in" line heading to Hartford. Take your blood pressure meds everyone.

It is looking like Cincinnati is probably going to be in the 4/5 game in Hartford. Most likely against Memphis or UConn. If Cincinnati goes 4-1, and wins that first game in Hartford, I think they are in. The next game would be against SMU and a loss against them wouldn't be detrimental (especially since we've already beat them twice). If they go 4-1 and lose that first game...UC will be sweating it out.

 

[bearcat jeff]

UC wins out they are fine and they are capable of that. I agree with B_NTS on his scenario.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

It is looking like Cincinnati is probably going to be in the 4/5 game in Hartford. Most likely against Memphis or UConn. If Cincinnati goes 4-1, and wins that first game in Hartford, I think they are in. The next game would be against SMU and a loss against them wouldn't be detrimental (especially since we've already beat them twice). If they go 4-1 and lose that first game...UC will be sweating it out.

I only remember really sweating it out on Selection Sunday twice. This year could be the third.

One year, I believe we lost to Southern Miss or some bad C-USA team in the 1st round of the conference tournament...then we got in and Chuck got booted from the Gonzaga game. I remember it like it was yesterday, I was down at Spring Training with my dad watching it at a restaurant.

The other time was when McNamara hit that runner to send us home from NYC and we didn't get in the dance. That was such a shame, I loved that year's team.

Let's not put it in the committee's hands!!

 

[Robert]

Question -- why would a loss at Tulsa hurt our RPI more than a loss at Tulane or Houston?

 

[TheRealUC]

If we end up needing a win against uconn in the 1st round...i'd say welcome to the NIT.

 

[Bearcat_NTS]

Question -- why would a loss at Tulsa hurt our RPI more than a loss at Tulane or Houston?

In a vacuum it wouldn't. However that scenario factors in a win over Tulsa + a loss to Tulane or Houston. That is better for the RPI than a win over Tulane or Tulsa + a loss to Tulsa.

 

[bearcat jeff]

They hold their fate in their hands and have for a long time now. Win these last 5 games and you're more than likely a lock. Win the last 5 and 1 in the CT and you're without question a lock. Guys have to play with a sense of urgency.

 

[mdchick]

think the only game that's possible to lose is Tulsa, someone has got to step up and be a leader I would like it to be Troy, he has to be more aggressive for us to be a good team. And being a leader doesn't mean just yelling at everyone when something bad happens. It also means taking responsibility for your own actions.

I still think this is a down year for us and the last thing I want to do is start talking about next years team.

Most likely scenario in my mind is 4-1 and then making it to the semis in our conference tourney. Putting us right on the bubble.

 

[mdchick]

In terms of the conference tourney if we end up on smu's side of the bracket the semi's is as far as we will go. If we don't I think we play them in the finals. I just don't see us beating them 3 times they are a sweet 16 type team imo.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

In terms of the conference tourney if we end up on smu's side of the bracket the semi's is as far as we will go. If we don't I think we play them in the finals. I just don't see us beating them 3 times they are a sweet 16 type team imo.

It's crazy that no one else can beat them. They've won 20 out of 22.