Tulane Part II

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Queens_NYC

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Jan 8, 2017
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Tuesday, February 7th, 2023
7:00 PM
Fogelman Arena @ Devlin Fieldhouse
ESPN+

The Bearcats (15-8 [7-4 AAC], NET #73, KenPom #60) look to continue their winning ways at Tulane (15-7 [8-3 AAC], NET #91, KenPom #80) in what will be a pivotal game for seeding in next month's AAC tournament.

Since our first match-up at the end of December, the Green Wave have beaten Memphis twice, UCF at home, and have pulled off road wins at Temple and Wichita State. Their only other conference losses have included a 80-60 defeat to Houston at home and a 81-79 OT loss at Tulsa.

4th-year 6'5 wing Jaylen Forbes has emerged as the team's top scorer during conference play where he has scored 20+ points in 8 of 11 AAC games so far.

Tulane has turned the dial up on tempo since our last encounter and have risen from 34th to 8th in Adjusted Tempo per KenPom. They surprisingly lead the AAC in 2pt FG% at 55.3% (during conference play) and shoot the ball very well at the foul line (79.2% during conference play) where they earn shots at one of the highest rates in the league.

The Bearcats are 1.5-point underdogs on the road tonight.
 
In the first game we didn't get inside much but we converted 12 of our 13 rim attempts. It would be nice to get to the rim more in this one instead of settling for 20 midrange jumpers. We also out rebounded them by 7 including a monster 13 boards in 27 minutes from Lakhin.

On defense we let them get to the rim 26 times and the free throw line 28 times. Not the best gameplan, but luckily they weren't hitting threes and we shut them down on the glass. That might not happen on the road, so hopefully we can protect the paint without fouling a little better this time. Ody and the freshmen were especially foul prone, they combined for 9 fouls in 45 minutes.
 
There's a narrow path to get to .500 in quality games. Currently we have a pair of Q2 wins (UCF, @Wichita) and 7 losses. If we win out we will pick up 3 more (@Tulane, @UCF, @Memphis). That would give us 5, with a couple more needed to get to 7-7. USF and Tulane are currently 14 spots away from crossing the top 75/135 thresholds. So it will be very tough and things out of our control will have to break our way, but it's possible.
 
Probably the most pivotal game of the season IMO. Play a good road game and we not only start looking like a better conference tourney seed but give us some confidence to play UCF and Memphis away. I have this game going down as a nail biter. And we need to show we can finish one of these toss ups.
 
sedziobs said:
There's a narrow path to get to .500 in quality games. Currently we have a pair of Q2 wins (UCF, @Wichita) and 7 losses. If we win out we will pick up 3 more (@Tulane, @UCF, @Memphis). That would give us 5, with a couple more needed to get to 7-7. USF and Tulane are currently 14 spots away from crossing the top 75/135 thresholds. So it will be very tough and things out of our control will have to break our way, but it's possible.
Click to expand...

On the opposite side of the conversation, UCF and Wichita could easily trend downward enough so that we lose both as quality wins over the coming weeks.

It does beg the question though of if we do have any path to an at-large bid by having an exceptional finish to the season but not winning the AAC tourney.
 
Tulane with 24 points in the first 8 minutes of the second half. On pace for a 60 point half.
 
You simply can't play DDJ, MAW, JD all at same time and expect too win against decent teams. Our bench stinks.
 
Im tired of Baby Jordan also. Miller need get fired not playing his 3rd best player all 2nd half in Skillings.
 

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