2nd half of the season

[cincyguy13]

We have the #1 remaining SOS in conference. That is both good and bad. We need the quality wins but they will be hard to get. Win all home games would be a great start. If we drop the road games at Houston and WSU we are still in good shape sitting on 4 losses. Likely we could spare one more loss in there somewhere. I don't think 6 losses gets us in

I would say it’s more bad than good. We have to start racking up wins. We haven’t beaten 1 tourney team from the aac or bigger conferences, so to think we are suddenly going to win 5-6 games against tourney teams is not promising. I hope we do.

 

[Queens_NYC]

@Temple
SMU
Houston
@Wichita
@UConn
Memphis

This next 6-game stretch will be our toughest of the season and could produce anywhere from 1 to 5 Q1 match-ups by season's end.

6-0 = new favorites to win the conference
5-1 = back on track for the NCAA tournament
4-2 = about where we are now, on the outside looking in, but still in contention for an at-large
3-3 or worse = NIT or bust

 

[waterhead]

I would say it’s more bad than good. We have to start racking up wins. We haven’t beaten 1 tourney team from the aac or bigger conferences, so to think we are suddenly going to win 5-6 games against tourney teams is not promising. I hope we do.

I would say the odds are stacked against us. There are 6 games where we are either significant dogs or significant favorites (5 pts or more). 4 of those are in our favor. We have 6 games in that toss up range of -2 to +.04.

If those first 6 games go according to likelihood that's okay. Then we have to win 5 out of 6 in that toss up range.

My only caveat would be we are playing better and we have Jarron at PG now. beating Temple on the road would be a good first step.

 

[waterhead]

@Temple
SMU
Houston
@Wichita
@UConn
Memphis

This next 6-game stretch will be our toughest of the season and could produce anywhere from 1 to 5 Q1 match-ups by season's end.

6-0 = new favorites to win the conference
5-1 = back on track for the NCAA tournament
4-2 = about where we are now, on the outside looking in, but still in contention for an at-large
3-3 or worse = NIT or bust

I think this is pretty accurate. Because if we go 3-3 we likely aren't running the table after that. I would also say we likely aren't playing well enough to win the AAC tourney if we go 3-3. Stay at 4-2 or above to keep hope alive

 

[cincyguy13]

@Temple
SMU
Houston
@Wichita
@UConn
Memphis

This next 6-game stretch will be our toughest of the season and could produce anywhere from 1 to 5 Q1 match-ups by season's end.

6-0 = new favorites to win the conference
5-1 = back on track for the NCAA tournament
4-2 = about where we are now, on the outside looking in, but still in contention for an at-large
3-3 or worse = NIT or bust

Games we are most likely to less likely win. from top to bottom
SMU
Memphis
@temple
@uconn
Houston
@wichita

 

[cincyguy13]

I would say the odds are stacked against us. There are 6 games where we are either significant dogs or significant favorites (5 pts or more). 4 of those are in our favor. We have 6 games in that toss up range of -2 to +.04.

If those first 6 games go according to likelihood that's okay. Then we have to win 5 out of 6 in that toss up range.

My only caveat would be we are playing better and we have Jarron at PG now. beating Temple on the road would be a good first step.

A lot will have to go right for us to win at least 5 of these games.

 

[mdchick]

Super long shot at us to get in at all, at large almost Impossible, conference tourney in Texas, better hope we don’t get SMU early, cuz that’s a home game for them and then Houston has lost 2 years in a row to us in the title game, I just don’t see it..... sad cuz this teams starting to get it

 

[cincyguy13]

The talent of Houston and Memphis is going to be hard to beat. I think we could beat both at home but it’s not going to be easy. It’s just hard to compete with 4-5 star players all over the place. That’s why we need to continue to up the talent level of the roster.

 

[waterhead]

A lot will have to go right for us to win at least 5 of these games.

If we stop wasting so many possessions it can be done. 2-3 less TO's per game. Stop shooting mid to long range 2's with more than 5-7 seconds left on the clock. Stop McNeal and Scott from shooting 3's with more than 5-7 seconds left on the clock. Also if Scott or Williams are going to drive and it gets cut off they need to know when to abandon that ship and find the outlet.

Some of that can be mandated by the coach and some of that is just having a little more awareness when the ball is in your hands.

 

[cincrulz11]

if we are going to make the tournament we can't continue to have those long stretches of play where we act like we dont know what a basketball is. we have them far too frequently where we'll have 5 possession in a row we just turn it over.


that has to get cleaned up for us to have any chance.

 

[cincyguy13]

If we stop wasting so many possessions it can be done. 2-3 less TO's per game. Stop shooting mid to long range 2's with more than 5-7 seconds left on the clock. Stop McNeal and Scott from shooting 3's with more than 5-7 seconds left on the clock. Also if Scott or Williams are going to drive and it gets cut off they need to know when to abandon that ship and find the outlet.

Some of that can be mandated by the coach and some of that is just having a little more awareness when the ball is in your hands.

Like I said, a lot