Official Season Predictions Thread

[jacobkdoyle]

If we lose at Temple I won't be a happy camper. They suck, as always.

Yeah it's really tough to predict every game. I thought we'd lose at X and at UCLA before the season started, with AAC losses being at Wichita State and one other random one. At this rate, at SMU looks to be every bit as hard as Wichita State. So many variables in college sports that are impossible to account for so far ahead of time.

 

[juckerrules]

If we lose at Temple I won't be a happy camper. They suck, as always.

Yeah it's really tough to predict every game. I thought we'd lose at X and at UCLA before the season started, with AAC losses being at Wichita State and one other random one. At this rate, at SMU looks to be every bit as hard as Wichita State. So many variables in college sports that are impossible to account for so far ahead of time.

I would not be at all shocked to see a 3 loss team win the AAC outright

 

[waterhead]

I would not be at all shocked to see a 3 loss team win the AAC outright

Yah 2 losses wins it. 3 either wins or ties more than likely.

 

[Jon Rycek]

I love that your stalking my posts as if I’m the enemy of the Bearcats. You got me pinned as negative poster. The reality is I’ve been disappointed with scheduling and disappointed with how we played against Xavier and Florida. That’s it.

I mean I predicted we’d have 2 losses In non conference and we did. Winning on the road in this conference won’t be a cake walk like last year. UCF held smu to 56 points in there own gym and they don’t have bj Taylor back. Smu has a home court record just as good as ours. Houston is going to be really tough. Wichita state rarely loses in Koch arena, and we never play well @temple. Tell me where I’m off base?

Winning on the road against good teams is really ******* hard.

I mean, are you going to predict that we only take 2 losses? I’ll gkadly hope your right, but I’m a realist. I want to protect home court, and steal a few road wins

Actually I came here to look for cincyguy13 predictions, don't flatter yourself. However when I did see your first post, I got a good chuckle.

 

[justinhub2003]

Actually I came here to look for cincyguy13 predictions, don't flatter yourself. However when I did see your first post, I got a good chuckle.

Dude you predicted going 3-1 in our 4 game stretch. I predicted 2-2. I dunno what’s to chuckle about except you being wrong already. Add In that you said we get a 2-3... we’d have to go undefeated the rest of the way to get that.

Your an optimist and I’m a realist. I mean we’re a good team but the conference is full of good defenses that travel. My prediction was not even in the slightest bit at all negative. Running through any conference is hard, but especially so with the improvements of Houston, UCF, WSU, Tulane and even UConn Is much improved

 

[Jon Rycek]

Dude you predicted going 3-1 in our 4 game stretch. I predicted 2-2. I dunno what’s to chuckle about except you being wrong already. Add In that you said we get a 2-3... we’d have to go undefeated the rest of the way to get that.

Your an optimist and I’m a realist. I mean we’re a good team but the conference is full of good defenses that travel. My prediction was not even in the slightest bit at all negative. Running through any conference is hard, but especially so with the improvements of Houston, UCF, WSU, Tulane and even UConn Is much improved

7 losses, realist
4 losses optimist.
Guess we will see who's the realist in the end.

 

[justinhub2003]

7 losses, realist
4 losses optimist.
Guess we will see who's the realist in the end.

Kenpom predicts 25-6

And he has us as the 12th best team in the country. I’m not off base.

Do I hope we do better then that? Sure. But from what I’ve seen, our on court performance isn’t better then last year. And competition is much better.

I will gladly be wrong and hope we run through the conference

 

[justinhub2003]

On another note;

Would anybody have ever guessed that UC’s Offense would be rated worse than last years offense and that our defense would be rated better?

If anything we all would have predicted the opposite.

Last year uc’s offense finished at 34th and this year we’re at 47th with only 4 games against good teams.


We are playing a full 2 seconds faster on offense (a huge job to be honest) however we haven’t learned how to be efficient at that speed. Our offense this season is better every nearly every way except one crucial one: TO%.

If we can get our TO% closer to 16% we will have a very good and most likely top 25 offense

 

[cincrulz11]

On another note;

Would anybody have ever guessed that UC’s Offense would be rated worse than last years offense and that our defense would be rated better?

If anything we all would have predicted the opposite.

Last year uc’s offense finished at 34th and this year we’re at 47th with only 4 games against good teams.


We are playing a full 2 seconds faster on offense (a huge job to be honest) however we haven’t learned how to be efficient at that speed. Our offense this season is better every nearly every way except one crucial one: TO%.

If we can get our TO% closer to 16% we will have a very good and most likely top 25 offense

its really just the turnovers. we are shooting better from 2 and 3. offensive rebounding % is up too.

 

[WAITE HOYT 2]

I know it's been mentioned a bit but does anyone think that the fact we are really playing our home schedule on a neutral floor has anything to do with some of our shooting struggles?

 

[jacobkdoyle]

I know it's been mentioned a bit but does anyone think that the fact we are really playing our home schedule on a neutral floor has anything to do with some of our shooting struggles?

I'm not smart enough to know that. But I think waterhead has mentioned how this could be a good thing later in the year since obviously none of our elimination games will be at home. Our splits have been troubling over the years.

 

[WAITE HOYT 2]

I'm not smart enough to know that. But I think waterhead has mentioned how this could be a good thing later in the year since obviously none of our elimination games will be at home. Our splits have been troubling over the years.

I've tried to look at some numbers but it's stumped me. I just can't see how it couldn't have a negative impact especially for the older kids who have played all their games at another venue. If nothing else it has to mess with their game day habits. I really can't see how it helps.

 

[WAITE HOYT 2]

Saw a graphic while watching Houston and Temple. it was illustrating what Houston had to do to play their homes games in a arena off campus.

Leave early for the bus ride to arena for walk through

Return to campus to go over counting report.

Return to arena for shoot around

Wait for game to be played

Back up and load bus for ride back to campus.

This may not be exact but it is close to what hey have to go through.

Has to impact our home advantage.

 

[Jon Rycek]

On another note;

Would anybody have ever guessed that UC’s Offense would be rated worse than last years offense and that our defense would be rated better?

If anything we all would have predicted the opposite.

Last year uc’s offense finished at 34th and this year we’re at 47th with only 4 games against good teams.


We are playing a full 2 seconds faster on offense (a huge job to be honest) however we haven’t learned how to be efficient at that speed. Our offense this season is better every nearly every way except one crucial one: TO%.

If we can get our TO% closer to 16% we will have a very good and most likely top 25 offense

I would definitely believe that, defensive rhythm is much easier to learn than offensive. So this early in the year I totally expected us to have some hiccups. We will only fix those as we continue the season. Glad to see the offense moving much quicker, at least in certain situations. I like the way we actually push the ball when we should, even if it hasn't always turned into buckets it's better than not being aggressive

 

[justinhub2003]

Saw a graphic while watching Houston and Temple. it was illustrating what Houston had to do to play their homes games in a arena off campus.

Leave early for the bus ride to arena for walk through

Return to campus to go over counting report.

Return to arena for shoot around

Wait for game to be played

Back up and load bus for ride back to campus.

This may not be exact but it is close to what hey have to go through.

Has to impact our home advantage.

Not too much.

UC stays in a hotel the night before every home game. They are never on campus during home games.

I asked coach rehfedt why they did this on Twitter and it’s to get the same exact routine home or away before games and also helps regulate the players sleep and curfew before game days. . We did this last year too

 

[justinhub2003]

I've tried to look at some numbers but it's stumped me. I just can't see how it couldn't have a negative impact especially for the older kids who have played all their games at another venue. If nothing else it has to mess with their game day habits. I really can't see how it helps.

We’re shooting better this year then last year so it anything we’re better shooting wise

 

[jacobkdoyle]

How did everyone do?

I had 27-4 with losses at Xavier, at UCLA, at Wichita, and one other random one.

I had the losses kind of mixed up. But not bad overall.

 

[cincrulz11]

i didn't miss a game.



of course i didn't do any predictions either. never do predictions, never do polls. don't put that pressure on me! i'd blame myself for all the losses.

 

[justinhub2003]

How did everyone do?

I had 27-4 with losses at Xavier, at UCLA, at Wichita, and one other random one.

I had the losses kind of mixed up. But not bad overall.

I admittedly did much worse however I also did not expect so many teams in our league to have so many injuries and for temple to suck so much

 

[cincrulz11]

I admittedly did much worse however I also did not expect so many teams in our league to have so many injuries and for temple to suck so much

yeah there are a few that maybe could have been different if not for injuries. @smu would have been a tough one. can't predict all those injuries.