Crosstown Shootout

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Loved the fire we showed down the stretch but the game was lost in the first half.

Davenport only playing 20 minutes was the most encouraging stat of the night.
 
Ody +15
MAW +10
JD -1
Lakhin -2
Skillings -2
DDJ -3
Nolley -7
Reed -7
Hensley -18

https://gobearcats.com/documents/2022/12/10/2186737.PDF

I have a running tab going for the year. Ody was leading before the game. Hensley was actually 2nd and Skillings 3rd. VIK is the best of the starters at 4th. These other 3 guys offer something the starting lineup lacks. Mainly D and rebounding. JD is 5th somehow
 
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I have a running tab going for the year. Ody was leading before the game. Hensley was actually 2nd and Skillings 3rd. VIK is the best of the starters at 4th. These other 3 guys offer something the starting lineup lacks. Mainly D and rebounding. JD is 5th somehow

My theory on JD (plus minus)...

He gets beat on D and has not been himself on offense so far. But maybe the team works better because of other things like communication, leadership, being in the spots he is supposed to be, gets the team jacked up, etc...IDK. But you would think with the eye test he should be way down the list. He was 3rd in plus minus this past game...and that is hard to understand...but it happened. It seemed like every time he came out we went on a run...but apparently we also went on runs when he was in because he was only -1 on the game.
 
The worst part of Miller's coaching is not benching Davenport when he does stupid shit. How many times does he need to jack up a three with zero support on the floor if he misses?

There is scoring and then there's offense. This team needs offense. Get the offense together or nothing is going to happen with these bad news bears.

I read that Kenyon Martin tore into them at halftime for not playing like a team and he's exactly right. And Miller was quoted that it was the only halftime in 12 years he's talked so little about Xs and Os. That's pretty sad when your team plays so out of sorts.

Sean Miller is talking to his team all season about how they don't play with enough toughness and passion, they don't fight enough.

I'm glad Davenport sat and Ody got in there to balance out the front court so Vik wasn't double teamed so easily.

And I don't understand why a guy like Reed has to freelance so much to try to score instead of running something to help him get to the basket. Same with Nolley. These dudes are the athletes that should be driving with an opening on picks, not trying to beat their man one on one.

I knew this season was going to be rough, but it's just painful. And this is after they came back to tie. But there was so much wasted effort early on that there's little doubt why they lost.
 
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I have a running tab going for the year. Ody was leading before the game. Hensley was actually 2nd and Skillings 3rd. VIK is the best of the starters at 4th. These other 3 guys offer something the starting lineup lacks. Mainly D and rebounding. JD is 5th somehow

It was the same last year, Davenport consistently preforms betters in +/- than on the eye test.

Hensley mainly played in the first half and the entire team sucked in the first half. In part why his +/- was so bad. But his season +/- was good relative to the others because he barely played in our blowout loss to OSU. The luck evening out I guess.
 
The worst part of Miller's coaching is not benching Davenport when he does stupid shit. How many times does he need to jack up a three with zero support on the floor if he misses?

There is scoring and then there's offense. This team needs offense. Get the offense together or nothing is going to happen with these bad news bears.

I read that Kenyon Martin tore into them at halftime for not playing like a team and he's exactly right. And Miller was quoted that it was the only halftime in 12 years he's talked so little about Xs and Os. That's pretty sad when your team plays so out of sorts.

Sean Miller is talking to his team all season about how they don't play with enough toughness and passion, they don't fight enough.

I'm glad Davenport sat and Ody got in there to balance out the front court so Vik wasn't double teamed so easily.

And I don't understand why a guy like Reed has to freelance so much to try to score instead of running something to help him get to the basket. Same with Nolley. These dudes are the athletes that should be driving with an opening on picks, not trying to beat their man one on one.

I knew this season was going to be rough, but it's just painful. And this is after they came back to tie. But there was so much wasted effort early on that there's little doubt why they lost.

I think Wes has those plays in the book. The thing is he lets his guys do their own thing a lot and doesn't micromanage. In theory it's a good thing, it lets them take advantage of opportunities the playbook can't account for and to play fast. But the reality is we don't have the players for it. We don't have enough good decision makers.

I said it before, if you want to run that sort of scheme, great. I'm all for it. But bench the guys who don't run it right. You can't let Davenport chuck up bad shot after bad shot and keep giving him freedom. You can't let Nolley mentally check out from the game and keep giving him freedom. The announcer at one point singled Nolley out for not moving for an entire offensive possession. We are seeing why Nolley came to UC and not a bigger school, he's got the talent, but he's a selfish player.

You can't let those two be the leaders and examples to the other guys. Wes preaches one thing and then gives Davenport/Nolley 60 minutes combined per game to do the opposite. Sit them down and tell them you either get with the program or sit on the bench. I'd rather play the players who try to do the right thing, even if it means we take some losses while they are learning.
 
I think Wes has those plays in the book. The thing is he lets his guys do their own thing a lot and doesn't micromanage. In theory it's a good thing, it lets them take advantage of opportunities the playbook can't account for and to play fast. But the reality is we don't have the players for it. We don't have enough good decision makers.

I said it before, if you want to run that sort of scheme, great. I'm all for it. But bench the guys who don't run it right. You can't let Davenport chuck up bad shot after bad shot and keep giving him freedom. You can't let Nolley mentally check out from the game and keep giving him freedom. The announcer at one point singled Nolley out for not moving for an entire offensive possession. We are seeing why Nolley came to UC and not a bigger school, he's got the talent, but he's a selfish player.

You can't let those two be the leaders and examples to the other guys. Wes preaches one thing and then gives Davenport/Nolley 60 minutes combined per game to do the opposite. Sit them down and tell them you either get with the program or sit on the bench. I'd rather play the players who try to do the right thing, even if it means we take some losses while they are learning.

I agree on continuing to reduce JD's minutes. I'm not sure on Nolley. Does he take some plays off? Yes. I am okay with him taking some poessessions off on offense rather than on D. He played 36 minutes. I think he is a willing passer on offense and his usage rate is lower than DDJ and Vik (as well as Skillings and Kalu). Give me 100% on D and you can take a few plays off on offense. If he stands out on the perimeter he is taking his man out of the play.
 
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The worst part of Miller's coaching is not benching Davenport when he does stupid shit. How many times does he need to jack up a three with zero support on the floor if he misses?

There is scoring and then there's offense. This team needs offense. Get the offense together or nothing is going to happen with these bad news bears.

I read that Kenyon Martin tore into them at halftime for not playing like a team and he's exactly right. And Miller was quoted that it was the only halftime in 12 years he's talked so little about Xs and Os. That's pretty sad when your team plays so out of sorts.

Sean Miller is talking to his team all season about how they don't play with enough toughness and passion, they don't fight enough.

I'm glad Davenport sat and Ody got in there to balance out the front court so Vik wasn't double teamed so easily.

And I don't understand why a guy like Reed has to freelance so much to try to score instead of running something to help him get to the basket. Same with Nolley. These dudes are the athletes that should be driving with an opening on picks, not trying to beat their man one on one.

I knew this season was going to be rough, but it's just painful. And this is after they came back to tie. But there was so much wasted effort early on that there's little doubt why they lost.

Good post!
 
I agree on continuing to reduce JD's minutes. I'm not sure on Nolley. Does he take some plays off? Yes. I am okay with him taking some poessessions off on offense rather than on D. He played 36 minutes. I think he is a willing passer on offense and his usage rate is lower than DDJ and Vik (as well as Skillings and Kalu). Give me 100% on D and you can take a few plays off on offense. If he stands out on the perimeter he is taking his man out of the play.

He's not exactly giving his all anywhere else either. His effort levels tend to mirror those of Davenport when it comes to defense and rebounding.

He's our third worst player in Adjusted Team Defense Efficiency on EvanMiya (in front of only Davenport and Kalu). His rebound percentage is only slightly better than Davenport's (8.1% to 8.0%), compare that to 8.7% for Newman last year when we regularly played two big men. Or 16.7% for Skillings and 15.6% for Reed. He's also second worst of our starters in EvanMiya +/- (in front of only DDJ).

He's one of only two starters who averages more TO's than assist (Lakhin being the other) and has the second highest TO% among our starters (MAW is higher, but also has a way higher assist%).

There are flashes of greatness from him. When the threes are falling and now and then off the drive. But I also see a lot of lack of effort. He doesn't care for rebounding, doesn't play that good of defense and when the ball isn't coming his way he checks out on offense. He seems like he wants to be "the guy" and is less concerned with doing whatever it takes for the team to win.
 
Nolley has good instincts though, which Davenport does not. We could make him "the guy" because we don't really have any other playmakers. MAW is a decent floor general and DDJ can score, but Nolley could be a creator like he was in Memphis. And he doesn't have to rebound a ton if he's playing the 3 alongside two bigs, especially if we have a good rebounding 2 like Skillings.
 
He's not exactly giving his all anywhere else either. His effort levels tend to mirror those of Davenport when it comes to defense and rebounding.

He's our third worst player in Adjusted Team Defense Efficiency on EvanMiya (in front of only Davenport and Kalu). His rebound percentage is only slightly better than Davenport's (8.1% to 8.0%), compare that to 8.7% for Newman last year when we regularly played two big men. Or 16.7% for Skillings and 15.6% for Reed. He's also second worst of our starters in EvanMiya +/- (in front of only DDJ).

He's one of only two starters who averages more TO's than assist (Lakhin being the other) and has the second highest TO% among our starters (MAW is higher, but also has a way higher assist%).

There are flashes of greatness from him. When the threes are falling and now and then off the drive. But I also see a lot of lack of effort. He doesn't care for rebounding, doesn't play that good of defense and when the ball isn't coming his way he checks out on offense. He seems like he wants to be "the guy" and is less concerned with doing whatever it takes for the team to win.

I agree with your assessment except for maybe that last line. In a Wes Miller offense you can determine your own usage rate. He seems to look for the right play more than several other players. DDJ and VIK have high usage and JD loves to get off 3 balls that he shouldn't. As I mentioned Skillings and Kalu both have higher usage. Nolley could easily be a hero ball player on offense if he wanted to. Wes would not take him out for that.

I agree on effort or taking plays off here and there. He could be all conference with some additional effort (and higher usage).
 
Nolley has good instincts though, which Davenport does not. We could make him "the guy" because we don't really have any other playmakers. MAW is a decent floor general and DDJ can score, but Nolley could be a creator like he was in Memphis. And he doesn't have to rebound a ton if he's playing the 3 alongside two bigs, especially if we have a good rebounding 2 like Skillings.

Still like the idea of DDJ at PG or Nolley at point forward (as you have suggested in the past) to get Skillings on the floor. Add in Ody at the 4 and suddenly this team can rebound the hell out of the ball. Get MAW down to 20MPG and JD down to 15-20 mpg. Skillings and Reed get the mpg bump along with Ody.
 
I get why people like Nolley, he's got the potential. But he's also in year 4, at some point you have to conclude that the potential isn't going to be reached. Can he play point forward? Davenport and Nolley both have the exact same number of assists (18) but Davenport has only 5 TO's to Nolley's 19. Though you could argue that JD has more TO's if you count his bad shot selection.

A point-forward with an assist-turnover ratio under 1 is not good.

Either way I don't think you can keep playing them both at the same time. To me, they are essentially the same player, JD takes more bad shots and Nolley gives the ball away more often. We need an athlete on the court to complement whomever of Nolley/Davenport is on the court. That means Ody, Skillings, Hensley or Reed starting and Davenport primarily playing as Nolley's backup (maybe a 25/15 minutes split).
 
I get why people like Nolley, he's got the potential. But he's also in year 4, at some point you have to conclude that the potential isn't going to be reached. Can he play point forward? Davenport and Nolley both have the exact same number of assists (18) but Davenport has only 5 TO's to Nolley's 19. Though you could argue that JD has more TO's if you count his bad shot selection.

A point-forward with an assist-turnover ratio under 1 is not good.

Either way I don't think you can keep playing them both at the same time. To me, they are essentially the same player, JD takes more bad shots and Nolley gives the ball away more often. We need an athlete on the court to complement whomever of Nolley/Davenport is on the court. That means Ody, Skillings, Hensley or Reed starting and Davenport primarily playing as Nolley's backup (maybe a 25/15 minutes split).

I'm on board with getting someone on the court for JD (Ody primarily). JD does nothing creative or he would have a lot more turnovers than he does. If he drove the lane more he would have more turnovers. If he tried to create off the dribble he would have more turnovers. If he tried to make more creative passes he would have more turnovers. Nolley is better equipped for all of that and makes more 3's. They are not the same player by any means but I agree one has to come off the floor and it's not Nolley.
 
Yeah, I agree that Nolley and Davenport shouldn't play much together. My point forward idea is based on his Memphis numbers and just watching his offensive insticts. We play him exclusively on the wing, so his assist numbers here don't mean much. I'm not counting on potential improvement, I'm looking to realize a skill he has already displayed.
 
Yeah, I agree that Nolley and Davenport shouldn't play much together. My point forward idea is based on his Memphis numbers and just watching his offensive insticts. We play him exclusively on the wing, so his assist numbers here don't mean much. I'm not counting on potential improvement, I'm looking to realize a skill he has already displayed.

His offensive numbers aren't great, his assist:TO ratio is below 1 for his career. Last year at Memphis was his only season he was above 1 (1.4:1), but that team had a ton of talent on it to take pressure off of him.

He doesn't get to the rim much - he has only 12 attempts at the rim this season and most of them were against low quality competition (only two total in our 4 losses). I said when we got him, it's hard to be a point-forward when you aren't actually a threat to get to and score at the rim.

He takes too many long jumpers and shoots spot up threes well. If you ask me, the big difference between Nolley and Davenport is that Nolley is making threes at a significantly higher rate than his career average and Davenport is significantly below his career average. There's a good chance those percentages even out and if they do, it may be Nolley who fans want benched.

I agree that one of them needs to hit the bench and right now that's Davenport. But if Davenport can improve his shot selection (a big if) and/or starts making threes, there's not much statistically that separates him and Nolley.
 
He doesn't get to the rim much - he has only 12 attempts at the rim this season and most of them were against low quality competition (only two total in our 4 losses). I said when we got him, it's hard to be a point-forward when you aren't actually a threat to get to and score at the rim.
I'm not following this. Not getting to the rim is exactly why I think he's better as a point forward than a wing. You expect your wings to get to the rim. You want your point man, whether it's a guard or a forward, to create offense. Our guards don't get to the rim as it is.

Nolley is never going to be a true point guard. But you accept some negative tradeoffs that come with that by getting more length on the floor. If we had a good point guard this wouldn't be a realistic option, but we don't have solid balanced point guard on the roster.
 
Either playing point or wing...Miller should be calling plays with screens to help him get to the rim.

I get that the trend is to coach philosophies instead of set plays every time, but these guys aren't making good decisions. Until they do start making good decisions a set play is better than solely thinking on you feet while others aren't on the same page, or worse, aren't in a position to rebound or bail you out.
 
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