Here's what we know about next year:
Guyn, Caupain, Johnson, Thomas, Sanders, and Lawrence will all be in the rotation being returning players with game experience.
Clark is the most highly-touted of the incoming freshmen, redshirt freshmen, and JUCO transfers. So it's reasonable to believe he will be a part of the rotation.
Unless we find a transfer like Graham who can come in and contribute right away at the 2-guard, Morman will see some floor time as we will only have 4 guards on the roster. I won't completely dismiss the possibility of Shaq playing spot minutes at the 2, but that won't happen often unless he becomes more comfortable handling the ball in non-iso situations.
Minutes at the 5 are up for grabs, and it's probably going to come down to who plays defense the best. DeBerry has great size and experience, Moore has upside and the more versatile/athletic skill set from what I can tell, and Strickland is a complete wildcard. If you held a gun to my head and asked me to rate how likely each is to play the most minutes at center, I would rate both DeBerry and Moore around 40% and Strickland at 20%. All 3 will get a fair shake, but at least one of them will be the odd man out.
I really don't think Mick has a preference in how many guys he has in his rotation, except that he obviously prefers as much depth as possible (who doesn't?) so he can press and keep his guys fresh. He has gone with anywhere from 8-10 guys (sometimes even 11 deep early in the season) for his rotation, and as of right now, we have 11 guys who will compete for a spot in the rotation.
Knowing what I know about these players and what I know about Mick Cronin, here are my predictions:
PG: Caupain 20, Guyn 20
SG: Johnson 22, Morman 11, Caupain 5, Thomas 2
SF: Thomas 24, Sanders 16
PF: Lawrence 20, Clark 18, Sanders 2
C: DeBerry 16, Moore 12, Strickland 7, Lawrence 5
Totals:
Thomas: 26
Caupain: 25
Lawrence: 25
Johnson: 22
Guyn: 20
Clark: 18
Sanders: 18
DeBerry: 16
Moore: 12
Morman: 11
Strickland: 7
And there is precedence for this type of minutes distribution -- check out the 2010-11 stats.