NTS-ology

[TheRealUC]

Summary...

I correctly picked 64/68 teams.

I correctly picked 36 teams on the exact seed line.

I correctly picked 52/68 teams within 1 seed line.

I had St. Mary's, San Diego St, Monmouth and St. Bonnies in.

The committee clearly overvalued the mid-tier PAC 12. I had Colorado at 10 (was 8), USC at 11 (was 8), Oregon State at 10 (was 7). Yet somehow Arizona was only a 6? Still makes no sense to me.

I had Kentucky at 3 and Texas A&M at 5, somehow A&M got a 3 but Kentucky was a 4? Also makes no sense.

Terrible job by committee. They should have used my bracket...

Not bad, not bad at all

 

[ZCat]

Haven't posted it publicly, but here is my projections coming into today's games. This is completely metric based with some of my own discretion at obvious points.

1 SEEDS:
Kansas
Virginia
Villanova
Michigan State

2 SEEDS:
North Carolina
Oklahoma
West Virginia
Oregon

3 SEEDS:
Kentucky
Miami-FL
Xavier
Purdue

4 SEEDS:
Utah
Indiana
Iowa State
California

5 SEEDS:
Maryland
Texas A&M
Arizona
Duke


6 SEEDS:
Iowa
Baylor
Seton Hall
Texas


7 SEEDS:
Wisconsin
Wichita State
Connecticut
Notre Dame


8 SEEDS:
St. Joesph's
VCU
San Diego State
Dayton

9 SEEDS:
Gonzaga
St. Mary's
Cincinnati
Texas Tech

10 SEEDS:
Yale
Providence
Vanderbilt
Colorado


11 SEEDS:
Valporaiso
Colorado
Butler/Michigan
Pittsburgh/USC


12 SEEDS:
Oregon State
Little Rock
Stephen F. Austin
Akron


13 SEEDS:
South Dakota State
UNC-Wilmington
Northern Iowa
Hawaii


14 SEEDS:
Iona
Stony Brook
Chattanooga
Middle Tennessee

15 SEEDS:
New Mexico State
Green Bay
Weber State
UNC-Asheville


16 SEEDS:
Florida Gulf Coast
Hampton
Austin Peay
Southern
Faireligh Dickinson
Holy Cross

Last 4 in: USC, Butler, Pittsburgh, Michigan
First 4 out: Florida, South Carolina, Syracuse, Princeton
Next 4 out: St. Bonnies, Tulsa, Monmouth, Georgia

NTS. Just curious. You say use BPI, plus a little of your own opinion. But surely you did more than just turn the BPI into an S curve bracket. What else was involved? Sounds like you wanted to avoid subjectivity.

 

[WAITE HOYT 2]

Not bad, not bad at all

The committee should hire NTS!

 

[Bearcat_NTS]

NTS. Just curious. You say use BPI, plus a little of your own opinion. But surely you did more than just turn the BPI into an S curve bracket. What else was involved? Sounds like you wanted to avoid subjectivity.

BPI, KenPom, Sagarin, and RPI averaged.