@Tulsa

[justinhub2003]

Also:

Here is one tidbit I just realized about our in conference SOS according to Kenpom:


Its 11th in the conference.


So we've had the easiest SOS in the AAC and have the undefeated record to prove it. Obviously that back end of play will be a much tough stretch.

Tulsa has the 10th easiest so far.
SMU on the other hand was right in the middle at 6th toughest.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Also:

Here is one tidbit I just realized about our in conference SOS according to Kenpom:


Its 11th in the conference.


So we've had the easiest SOS in the AAC and have the undefeated record to prove it. Obviously that back end of play will be a much tough stretch.

Tulsa has the 10th easiest so far.
SMU on the other hand was right in the middle at 6th toughest.

I feel like ours will always be skewed a bit since we don't have to play ourselves.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

I never understand what being a heavy favorite has to do with the game. I'm just saying that we aren't playing ecu, Tulane and south Florida in these next few games. Tulsa coming in with some momentum, uconn wants to feel good about a shitty season and UCF has a 7'6 dude plus a volume 38% 3 point shooter.

One or two of these games will be close for a while. I obviously think we should win but its still not push overs

It doesn't necessarily mean from a Vegas perspective, but in a personal handicapping sense. Just points out the margin for error. We have a cushion against these teams. That's all I mean by that. Obviously we don't want the mindset to be that we can take it easy and still win, but it would take quite the combination of things for us to come up short.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

haha no it doesn't.

Your play on the court determines if your win or not. If we are 20 point favorite and play shitty, that 20 point spread doesn't help us one bit.

I mean I want us to win. But Im always guarded about being over optimistic on the road.

This board is full of optimism on the board and I find it awesome. Im pretty optimistic win or lose BUT I just know that not every team can win all the time even win they are the better team on the road.

Im always more nervous when we leave fifth third and historically we are a different team when we leave it. Will be interesting to see how we play in Tulsa.

Yes it does. It just a baseline of how shitty we can play and still win straight up. Like @ECU I think we were -14 or -16 or something. We played crappy and won by I think 9. It's not the number itself but what it represents if you're talking strictly wins and losses. It would take a ton for us to actually lose a game like that.

 

[justinhub2003]

I feel like ours will always be skewed a bit since we don't have to play ourselves.

Yea and temples is really skewed since they played us twice and smu

 

[Emperor Snapper]

Looking at Jarron and Justin's splits I would like to see improvement on the road, and with Brooks a question, UC could be short handed if in foul trouble in frontcourt.

Tulsa, SMU and UCF on the road will not be gimme games. Look at all the upsets on Saturday that were on the road against unranked teams

Exactly. I expect a close game vs Tulsa, not because I think there is anything wrong with the team, but just because conference road games are tough, especially against a team that is playing well. Almost every team in the country drops a couple of conference road games every year - Kentucky just lost to a bad Tennessee team, just to name one example.

We win this game by 4, I'm perfectly pleased. Late season road games are all about the W.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Exactly. I expect a close game vs Tulsa, not because I think there is anything wrong with the team, but just because conference road games are tough, especially against a team that is playing well. Almost every team in the country drops a couple of conference road games every year - Kentucky just lost to a bad Tennessee team, just to name one example.

We win this game by 4, I'm perfectly pleased. Late season road games are all about the W.

I get what you're saying, but Tennessee is 76 spots ahead of Tulsa in KenPom. Let's not act like they're anything special. Bc they're not. We are way better than they are.

 

[justinhub2003]

I get what you're saying, but Tennessee is 76 spots ahead of Tulsa in KenPom. Let's not act like they're anything special. Bc they're not. We are way better than they are.

But I'd like to see where Tulsa would be in kenpom had they played as well as they are now.

I mean the thing that concerns me: how much they get to the free throw line and I just hope it's not the Tulane officials. That scares me a little but nothing else about them does

 

[Emperor Snapper]

I get what you're saying, but Tennessee is 76 spots ahead of Tulsa in KenPom. Let's not act like they're anything special. Bc they're not. We are way better than they are.

DePaul, who is 64 spots worse than Tulsa in KenPom, recently took Butler (who beat us) to OT, and lost by 1.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

DePaul, who is 64 spots worse than Tulsa in KenPom, recently took Butler (who beat us) to OT, and lost by 1.

Yeah we could go back and forth on that all day. Point is we're a big favorite, no reason to expect the worst. I feel like the fear of a trap game is leftover insecurity from teams past. Obviously anything could happen, but we're way better than Tulsa.

 

[GoCats88]

I feel like ours will always be skewed a bit since we don't have to play ourselves.

Good point. At this point I would really call the end of our conference schedule the harder part by any stretch. It has the toughest game at SMU, but the way UCONN has been playing they aren't too much of a worry for us this year I don't think.

 

[GarradJ21]

Game day. This is somewhat of a big game for us being that we are in the American conference. Excited to watch.

Big games in our conference:
SMU
UCONN (usually)
Memphis (maybe)

Somewhat decent teams:
TULSA
Houston
Temple
UCF (this year)

Bye games:
USF
ECU
Tulane

If we just would have held on to Louisville and end up adding Witchta State I would actually love our conference. Hopefully UCONN is back next year, we add Witchta and some other decent team. Either way lets keep winning.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Game day. This is somewhat of a big game for us being that we are in the American conference. Excited to watch.

Big games in our conference:
SMU
UCONN (usually)
Memphis (maybe)

Somewhat decent teams
TULSA
Houston
Temple
UCF (this year)

Bye games:
USF
ECU
Tulane

If we just would have held on to Louisville and end up adding Witchta State I would actually love our conference. Hopefully UCONN is back next year, we add Witchta and some other decent team. Either way lets keep winning.

Didn't we already play Tulane twice?

 

[GarradJ21]

Yeah, I am not saying what's left on our schedule just saying how usually our conference looks as far as how I feel when we play these teams.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Yeah, I am not saying what's left on our schedule just saying how usually our conference looks as far as how I feel when we play these teams.

Oh my bad...gotcha.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

-9.5 O/U 138

 

[GarradJ21]

Anyone nervous for this game? Hardest road game we have had in almost a month.

 

[juckerrules]

Anyone nervous for this game? Hardest road game we have had in almost a month.

Hard to call on the road at Tulsa a "trap game", but I sure hope the Bearcats brought their big boy units today - ain't gonna be no cakewalk

 

[WAITE HOYT 2]

Hard to call on the road at Tulsa a "trap game", but I sure hope the Bearcats brought their big boy units today - ain't gonna be no cakewalk

No games are gimme's. Especially road games. Got to bring it every night. I could site dozens of examples where ranked teams have gone down to teams that many would think should not even have been on the floor. Got to bring it every night. Holding onto a 1 game league lead for the league title. No room for error or overlooking anyone.

 

[justinhub2003]

No games are gimme's. Especially road games. Got to bring it every night. I could site dozens of examples where ranked teams have gone down to teams that many would think should not even have been on the floor. Got to bring it every night. Holding onto a 1 game league lead for the league title. No room for error or overlooking anyone.

Yea I'm interested to see how we handle being ranked top 15 and knowing that Tulsa has a huge chance to get an upper hand in the conference by hosting both us and SMU back to back.

We are so much more experienced than them and they been averaging only 4K for attendance but we need to just come out fast, set the tone and score in the 70's..