2015-2016 Season

[Bearcat513]

Looking at KJs last six regular season games, and then the NCAA tourney games, he shot 22-45 from the floor for 48% and 14-27 from 3 for 52%.

He definitely turned it on in the later part the season and I would love to see him carry that over, especially with his improvements over the offseason, into this season. I think he can and will. His defense is something Mick loves, and we all should love, but I think his offensive game will improve greatly this season.

 

[waterhead]

That is a big question but I don't see Jenifer, who is noted to have average to below average defense, also a point guard taking minutes from Kevin Johnson a shooting guard. Jenifer will not force Caupain off the ball for more than 5 minutes a game max. I see minutes playing out as follows:

PG: Caupain - 30, Jenifer - 7 and Cobb 3

SG: Johnson - 21, Cobb - 19 (SALY, flip-flop depending on game situation)

SF: Shaq - 23, Evans - 12, Johnson/Cobb - 5 (3 guard line-up)

PF: Clark - 28 , Ellis- 5, Scott 5, Moore - 2 (When Deberry and him are in, I could also see Shaq playing the four in smaller and quicker line-ups depending on the opponent)

C: Ellis- 25, Deberry - 15

Just my opinion but it will be Caupain, Cobb, Shaq, Clark and Oct starting and Johnson, Deberry, Evans, Jenifer off the bench in that order.

Solid breakdown. After seeing the training video KJ might have been the most impressive transformation. 20 lbs of muscle on a 160 lb frame is huge. He's obviously motivated and could be an absolute beast on D. If Jenifer is going to steal minutes from the incumbents...he's got his work cut out!!

 

[waterhead]

Looking at KJs last six regular season games, and then the NCAA tourney games, he shot 22-45 from the floor for 48% and 14-27 from 3 for 52%.

He definitely turned it on in the later part the season and I would love to see him carry that over, especially with his improvements over the offseason, into this season. I think he can and will. His defense is something Mick loves, and we all should love, but I think his offensive game will improve greatly this season.

Thanks for the stats. After watching the training video I could see KJ struggling a bit with his shot early on. He put on a lot of muscle and your body has to get used to that.

 

[GuyfromNKY]

Solid breakdown. After seeing the training video KJ might have been the most impressive transformation. 20 lbs of muscle on a 160 lb frame is huge. He's obviously motivated and could be an absolute beast on D. If Jenifer is going to steal minutes from the incumbents...he's got his work cut out!!

I think people aren't talking about him enough. Like Bearcat513 noted he finished strong last year and with his muscle gain I can see him being player off the bench. He is very useful as a possible three point specialist and somebody who can d up on the opposing teams best player. With that said if he shows he can do that I could see him on the floor at the end of games with Cobb and Caupain. Might be far fetched to have three guards out there but it's a possibility.

 

[Bearcat513]

Just saw this tweet:
"LSUA Basketball @LSUAhoops
Your happy final! The Generals pull off the upset of NCAA Division I Southeastern, 82-68!! What a way to start the new season! #AllAboutTheA"

LSUA is in their second year as a program, a NAIA team. Bearcats welcome Southeastern Louisiana on November 24th.

 

[waterhead]

I think people aren't talking about him enough. Like Bearcat513 noted he finished strong last year and with his muscle gain I can see him being player off the bench. He is very useful as a possible three point specialist and somebody who can d up on the opposing teams best player. With that said if he shows he can do that I could see him on the floor at the end of games with Cobb and Caupain. Might be far fetched to have three guards out there but it's a possibility.

Here is my main issue with KJ compared to Cobb. They both chuck up a lot of 3s. Over the last 15 games last year, however, Cobb put up around 60 2 pt attempts to around 30 for KJ. Cobb can create more shots and doesn't rely as much on getting set shots delivered by someone else.

If KJ can improve his ball handling he might be better for us than Cobb...but that's not something that happens overnight.

 

[waterhead]

Here is my main issue with KJ compared to Cobb. They both chuck up a lot of 3s. Over the last 15 games last year, however, Cobb put up around 60 2 pt attempts to around 30 for KJ. Cobb can create more shots and doesn't rely as much on getting set shots delivered by someone else.

If KJ can improve his ball handling he might be better for us than Cobb...but that's not something that happens overnight.

Per minute played in the last 15 games Cobb led KJ in every meaningful category other than assists which KJ held a slight edge.

3 pt attempts (close)
2 point attempts (significant )
Turnovers (significant )
Ft attempts (close)
Rebounds (significant )
Steals (close)
Fouls (significant )

I am not bringing this up to bring down KJ or to prop up Cobb. I just think KJ has to show a lot of improvement outside of "on the ball D" for me to lobby for him to get more minutes than Cobb.

 

[Bearcat_NTS]

Just saw this tweet:
"LSUA Basketball @LSUAhoops
Your happy final! The Generals pull off the upset of NCAA Division I Southeastern, 82-68!! What a way to start the new season! #AllAboutTheA"

LSUA is in their second year as a program, a NAIA team. Bearcats welcome Southeastern Louisiana on November 24th.

We play them as a part of the Barclays Classic. One of the 2-3 opponents that we play that will hurt our RPI. Hopefully playing Nebraska and GW/Tennessee will be worth it.

 

[cincrulz11]

Here is my main issue with KJ compared to Cobb. They both chuck up a lot of 3s. Over the last 15 games last year, however, Cobb put up around 60 2 pt attempts to around 30 for KJ. Cobb can create more shots and doesn't rely as much on getting set shots delivered by someone else.

If KJ can improve his ball handling he might be better for us than Cobb...but that's not something that happens overnight.

I still can't believe how close their shooting percentages were. Both shot under 40% from the floor. That has to change for both. KJ came on at the end of the year to end up shooting 35% from 3 to Cobbs 33%, but KJ also went 7/12 as a freshman from 3 the last month or so. For whatever reason he can't find his stroke until February.


Cobb has to get his percentages up. He's too good of a shooter to shoot that poorly over the season. He only shot 30% from 3 the last 10 games of the season.

 

[waterhead]

I still can't believe how close their shooting percentages were. Both shot under 40% from the floor. That has to change for both. KJ came on at the end of the year to end up shooting 35% from 3 to Cobbs 33%, but KJ also went 7/12 as a freshman from 3 the last month or so. For whatever reason he can't find his stroke until February.


Cobb has to get his percentages up. He's too good of a shooter to shoot that poorly over the season. He only shot 30% from 3 the last 10 games of the season.

But the last 7 games he shot 37.5% But I agree with you about getting those %'s up. 37.5% is about the low end of where I would like to see KJ and Cobb for the season. I would also like to see Caupain get his attempts up at the 3...at 40% I would prefer he doubles his attempts from 2 per game to 4. I also understand he is not a volume shooter and that % might go down with more shots. Again I would take 37.5% and be happy. KJ and Cobb were taking a 3 about every 5-6 minutes and Caupain was around 1 every 16 minutes.

 

[UCBearcats]

Here is my main issue with KJ compared to Cobb. They both chuck up a lot of 3s. Over the last 15 games last year, however, Cobb put up around 60 2 pt attempts to around 30 for KJ. Cobb can create more shots and doesn't rely as much on getting set shots delivered by someone else.

If KJ can improve his ball handling he might be better for us than Cobb...but that's not something that happens overnight.

I think the big issue with KJ and Cobb is turnovers. They both turn the ball over at an alarming rate. Cobb is the better scorer because as you noted he can create his shot, KJ lacks the handles and quickness to create shots for himself. He is an above average knock down shooter and I think the added strength will help him on defense which is his biggest asset to this team.

Hopefully he has improved his ball handling and decision making on the offensive side of the ball but I'll believe when I see it.

 

[Bcats]

This is my breakdown of the seasons roster
Avg., points/ minutes per game meat of schedule
Caupain-12/29
Cobb-13/26
Thomas-10/27
Clark-12/30
Ellis-14/30
Deberry-6/12
Jenifer-4/9
Johnson-6/13
Evans-6/13
Scott-3/7
Moore-2/4

 

[GuyfromNKY]

This is my breakdown of the seasons roster
Avg., points/ minutes per game meat of schedule
Caupain-12/29
Cobb-13/26
Thomas-10/27
Clark-12/30
Ellis-14/30
Deberry-6/12
Jenifer-4/9
Johnson-6/13
Evans-6/13
Scott-3/7
Moore-2/4

Your projection on minutes are good but your points per game is very high as the total in 88. Which has zero chance of happening, no offense. Best case scenario they will average a high 60's to low 70's. Which would be extremely impressive.

 

[waterhead]

I think the big issue with KJ and Cobb is turnovers. They both turn the ball over at an alarming rate. Cobb is the better scorer because as you noted he can create his shot, KJ lacks the handles and quickness to create shots for himself. He is an above average knock down shooter and I think the added strength will help him on defense which is his biggest asset to this team.

Hopefully he has improved his ball handling and decision making on the offensive side of the ball but I'll believe when I see it.

Agree on most of that. Here is the funny thing about Cobb and turnovers...it was a tale of two seasons. He turned it over just 14 times in his first 19 games. That is extremely low TO rate. In his last 15 games he turned it over 23 times which is significantly worse.

KJ definitely needs to improve there. He had 54 TO's to Cobbs 37 in less minutes played.

 

[L-T]

The single most impressive thing about KJ in the scrimmage is how he blew around people and took the ball to the basket and finished. So, this whole idea that he can't create shots is inaccurate. He definitely has that ability. When I watch Cobb and compare him to KJ, I just feel Cobb is a more complete player, and is a smarter player. To me, he looks like a high Division 1 starting guard, and he is definitely our best outside shooter, though he was a little inconsistent last year. KJ gets the nod defensively, but I think Cobb is better at generating steals with his quickness.

Most everyone on here is way underestimating Jenifer's minutes this year. All you have to do is listen to Mick's comments on the video that Jacob posted the other day to see that there is no way he's getting single digit minutes. I'd bet my life on that, especially after seeing him in person. Listening to Mick's comments, after what I just saw with my own eyes, makes complete sense. We will see what happens.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Agree on most of that. Here is the funny thing about Cobb and turnovers...it was a tale of two seasons. He turned it over just 14 times in his first 19 games. That is extremely low TO rate. In his last 15 games he turned it over 23 times which is significantly worse.

KJ definitely needs to improve there. He had 54 TO's to Cobbs 37 in less minutes played.

Yeah, without looking I would've guessed Cobb as a lower TO guy out of everyone who played significant minutes. I don't worry about that at all with him.

 

[Bcats]

Your projection on minutes are good but your points per game is very high as the total in 88. Which has zero chance of happening, no offense. Best case scenario they will average a high 60's to low 70's. Which would be extremely impressive.

I think this year all the starters have a good chance of averaging in double figures
Also the total points for each player doesn't mean they're going to score that every game that's just an average throughout the season there might be high games where we score 90 against cupcakes and low games against UConn where we only scored 50

 

[Bearcatboy]

Agree on most of that. Here is the funny thing about Cobb and turnovers...it was a tale of two seasons. He turned it over just 14 times in his first 19 games. That is extremely low TO rate. In his last 15 games he turned it over 23 times which is significantly worse.

KJ definitely needs to improve there. He had 54 TO's to Cobbs 37 in less minutes played.

Cobb started the games at the end of the season and we played against better competition.

 

[Bearcatboy]

The single most impressive thing about KJ in the scrimmage is how he blew around people and took the ball to the basket and finished. So, this whole idea that he can't create shots is inaccurate. He definitely has that ability. When I watch Cobb and compare him to KJ, I just feel Cobb is a more complete player, and is a smarter player. To me, he looks like a high Division 1 starting guard, and he is definitely our best outside shooter, though he was a little inconsistent last year. KJ gets the nod defensively, but I think Cobb is better at generating steals with his quickness.

Most everyone on here is way underestimating Jenifer's minutes this year. All you have to do is listen to Mick's comments on the video that Jacob posted the other day to see that there is no way he's getting single digit minutes. I'd bet my life on that, especially after seeing him in person. Listening to Mick's comments, after what I just saw with my own eyes, makes complete sense. We will see what happens.

The low minutes for jenifer everyone is saying are for the meat of the schedule against uconn, smu, Tulsa, you know good teams where mick will play his vets most of the game. Now against the cupcakes I wouldn't be suppriesed to see jenifer play more than Caupain once the game is blown open.

 

[waterhead]

Cobb started the games at the end of the season and we played against better competition.

I think that probably had something to do with it