We're still in the field in Lunardi world. We're actually the fourth team in, sitting above Wichita St, Utah St, and Stanford.
I think we're in trouble. It's crazy how many big games the other bubble teams have won in the last week. I think our at-large ceiling is last four in at this point. So if even a few teams pass us, we're toast. That could be a bid steal, a Rhode Island win over Dayton tonight, a Stanford win in either of their last two games, or a Richmond win at Duquesne.
Obvious Bid Stealing conference (non P5/BE/AAC) tourneys to monitor/root for the below teams:
MWC - SDSU
A10 - Dayton
ASUN - Liberty
Ivy - Yale
MVC - Northern Iowa
Southern - ETSU
MAC - Akron
The bolded teams above could definitely produce bid stealers. I don't think Liberty, Yale, or Akron have realistic chances. Stephen F Austin from the Southland has a better resume than any of those teams in my opinion. They have a win at Duke and only three total losses.
Lunardi has Northern Iowa as the last team in, bumping us out.