2020 Bracketology

[justinhub2003]

Scratch that. They won.

I think they move out to in with that win.

And they tied for 1st place now

 

[cincyguy13]

If UCLA loses tonight, we can probably scratch them from an at large I would think.

They had their chances to win.

Arizona state has some killers on their team. Not a team you want to play in March

I’d play anyone in March. We’ve had very little success for almost 25 straight years. It can’t get any worse. Bring on whoever

 

[Cataclysmo]

Scratch that. They won.

I think they move out to in with that win.

And they tied for 1st place now

Lundardi still has them out. Probably has something to do with their sub-75 computer rankings and 18-11 record against the #67 SOS and #217 NC SOS. They'll lose at least 2 more before the tournament too. It's an uphill battle for them that's only been made interesting due to an unprecedented run. But I see no way it continues.

 

[sedziobs]

Dave Ommen has UCLA as the last team in. UC is an automatic qualifier in his bracket, so we're not included in his bubble team lists. We're ranked just below UCLA on the seed list though.

 

[justinhub2003]

Lundardi still has them out. Probably has something to do with their sub-75 computer rankings and 18-11 record against the #67 SOS and #217 NC SOS. They'll lose at least 2 more before the tournament too. It's an uphill battle for them that's only been made interesting due to an unprecedented run. But I see no way it continues.

Don’t under estimate the value of good press and a solid eye test leading up to the tourney.


Keep in mind, I think 4 games ago, I posted that they have a chance to make the tourney if they finished strong. Most thought it was an insane idea, even myself, and kenpom had them losing 6 straight to finish the year.

But now they’ve won 4 of those last 6 games with 2 more remaining and 1 being a home.

In my opinion, after watching a lot of Pac-12 teams falter in the latter part of the season, I think UCLA is the 2nd best team in the 4th best conference.

They swept Colorado, they could sweet Arizona On Saturday. And they could even the score with USC.

They pass the eye test.

 

[cincrulz11]

Keep in mind, I think 4 games ago, I posted that they have a chance to make the tourney if they finished strong. Most thought it was an insane idea, even myself, and kenpom had them losing 6 straight to finish the year.

But now they’ve won 4 of those last 6 games with 2 more remaining and 1 being a home.

the idea they'd win out was insane. the 2 toughest battles still remain. would have thought Colorado would have been the 2nd toughest game, but they just got blown out by California.


The team is doing it with offense. The lowest ORTG they've had in this win streak is 109.1. defense has been hit and miss. nobody can stay in front of Campbell.

 

[justinhub2003]

Blind resume:

1. 7-5, 3-3, 4-1, 5-1
2. 6-3, 3-5, 5-3, 6-0
3. 3-5, 7-0, 7-4, 4-0
4. 3-4, 7-3, 6-0, 8-0

 

[kskenyon4]

Blind resume:

1. 7-5, 3-3, 4-1, 5-1
2. 6-3, 3-5, 5-3, 6-0
3. 3-5, 7-0, 7-4, 4-0
4. 3-4, 7-3, 6-0, 8-0

** that this pure NET rankings, and doesn't take into account SOS, H2H, etc. But in order:

4
3
1
2

 

[justinhub2003]

the idea they'd win out was insane. the 2 toughest battles still remain. would have thought Colorado would have been the 2nd toughest game, but they just got blown out by California.


The team is doing it with offense. The lowest ORTG they've had in this win streak is 109.1. defense has been hit and miss. nobody can stay in front of Campbell.

They ran Arizona out of the gym and held them to their lowest shooting percentage ever in that arena.

That was a defensive win.

But they are playing good enough to win defense because their offense is really playing well. They don’t need to grind it out.
Campbell is a 4 year player who I think may end being micks best PG.

I think they are national contender with this very roster next year. But then add 5 star Nix and another 4 star, it really is primed to be a good year for UCLA.


I think they beat Arizona at home on senior day in what will a great environment. They are finally creating a home court at Pauley.


We need to just win and hope the bubble doesn’t shrink.

 

[justinhub2003]

** that this pure NET rankings, and doesn't take into account SOS, H2H, etc. But in order:

4
3
1
2

Sure I left out SOS

But what I find interesting is that UC played a tough schedule and yet, of all those resumes listed there, UC has played more tier 3 & 4 games then anyone else.

We’ve played or will play in 15 tier 3 & 4 games.

That has to matter.

 

[sedziobs]

Ok, that's enough UCLA talk for this thread. We're not even talking about their resume anymore. If someone wants to keep the conversation going, I'll start a new thread for it.

 

[mdchick]

I feel like as long as we have the 2nd best resume in the American we have a chance, the committee ahas no set rules and they probably see the league as at least a 2 bid league

 

[justinhub2003]

My god. Today was awful.

UCLA just best a top 30 net Arizona to snag another tier 1 win. It’s now 6.

We absolutely need to win tomorrow or at large Is done. No ifs ands or butts.

We need Xavier to whoop Georgetown too.

Bad day

 

[sedziobs]

Yes, very bad day. One bright side is that Utah St lost, so UCLA might bump them instead of us if we lose. Texas is coming on strong too though. Rutgers, Rhode Island, and Stanford are somewhat vulnerable.

I think Georgetown is on really thin ice. I'd probably rather have Xavier lose that game.

 

[cincyguy13]

My god. Today was awful.

UCLA just best a top 30 net Arizona to snag another tier 1 win. It’s now 6.

We absolutely need to win tomorrow or at large Is done. No ifs ands or butts.

We need Xavier to whoop Georgetown too.

Bad day

You say we need to win out every game but I do think we are getting to that point. UCLA should be in at this point, they are beating everyone.

 

[mdchick]

Definitely need to at least make it to the championship game of the conference tourney

 

[justinhub2003]

You say we need to win out every game but I do think we are getting to that point. UCLA should be in at this point, they are beating everyone.

If we win out the regular season I’ll still be nervous.

Those 4 bad losses are going to mean something and the eye test just says we aren’t very good

 

[mdchick]

My god. Today was awful.

UCLA just best a top 30 net Arizona to snag another tier 1 win. It’s now 6.

We absolutely need to win tomorrow or at large Is done. No ifs ands or butts.

We need Xavier to whoop Georgetown too.

Bad day

Xavier can still miss the tourney, it’s still likely they can go 0-3 to end the year

 

[cincyguy13]

If we win out the regular season I’ll still be nervous.

Those 4 bad losses are going to mean something and the eye test just says we aren’t very good

The truth is, if jarron isn’t playing well, we aren’t that good. I know you always say we return our 3 returning scorers, but those other 2 scorers can’t really create their own shot. Not blaming jarron, but that is the reality of the situation.
If we won out and made the finals of the conference tourney, we’d be a 10ish seed

 

[mdchick]

I truly believe in the past, the NCAA tourney is already set before our conference tournament finals, With us being on the bubble it could work to our favor with our conference championship being the very last game before the tournament