AAC Conference Tournament

[mdchick]

Just an early look at what matchups we could possibly get, right now we are the 2 seed and as far as our first round match up goes, there’s about 5/6 possibilities of teams we might play.

The more interesting matchup IF we get there is the semis, tulsa and SMU, are looking like they are going to be the 3/4 seeds, Tulsa’s reaming schedule is tough they play WSU, Houston and Smu at home.
SMU plays at Tulsa, Memphis and WSU. It’s going to be interesting to see how everything plays out, but we all should be rooting for a matchup against Tulsa because that tournament SMU is a home team and they are starting to play well at the right time.

We don’t want to play SMU in the conference tourney IMO

 

[kskenyon4]

The biggest thing for me is to be on the opposite side as Houston - as we should be favored in any other matchup. Other than that, avoid UConn in the first game.

 

[sedziobs]

Torvik predicts:

1 Houston (14-4)
2 Cincinnati (13-5)
3 Tulsa (12-6)
4 SMU (11-7)
4 Wichita St (11-7)
6 Memphis (9-9)
6 UConn (9-9)

I'm not sure how the tiebreakers would work, but I think that's about as good of a scenario as we could hope for.

 

[Queens_NYC]

As long as we don't get Memphis in the quarters I feel pretty confident about how we match-up with each team below them in the standings right now.

Tulsa would be a dream match-up in the semis. Wichita would be tougher, but at least there's a good chance they would be top 50 and it'd be Q1.

 

[mdchick]

Torvik predicts:

1 Houston (14-4)
2 Cincinnati (13-5)
3 Tulsa (12-6)
4 SMU (11-7)
4 Wichita St (11-7)
6 Memphis (9-9)
6 UConn (9-9)

I'm not sure how the tiebreakers would work, but I think that's about as good of a scenario as we could hope for.

This is my dream scenario as a 2 seed, obviously would be great to be the #1 and that probably means we’d get an at large bid if we do get the #1 seed. But as far as my realistic expectations, this is exactly how I want the tournament to line up.

 

[mdchick]

The biggest thing for me is to be on the opposite side as Houston - as we should be favored in any other matchup. Other than that, avoid UConn in the first game.

I’d match rather play uconn than WSU Memphis and Smu
Akok akok just tore his Achilles and they won’t be playing at home.

 

[justinhub2003]

Just an early look at what matchups we could possibly get, right now we are the 2 seed and as far as our first round match up goes, there’s about 5/6 possibilities of teams we might play.

The more interesting matchup IF we get there is the semis, tulsa and SMU, are looking like they are going to be the 3/4 seeds, Tulsa’s reaming schedule is tough they play WSU, Houston and Smu at home.
SMU plays at Tulsa, Memphis and WSU. It’s going to be interesting to see how everything plays out, but we all should be rooting for a matchup against Tulsa because that tournament SMU is a home team and they are starting to play well at the right time.

We don’t want to play SMU in the conference tourney IMO

I thought we'd be the one seed If the conference tourney was today?


We have the tie breaker over Houston, and if UC and Houston both finish tied, then they go to the record against the 3rd place team, which is Tulsa, which we own the tie breaker of and if you go down to SMU, we also own the tie breaker.

 

[Union Bearcat]

I thought we'd be the one seed If the conference tourney was today?


We have the tie breaker over Houston, and if UC and Houston both finish tied, then they go to the record against the 3rd place team, which is Tulsa, which we own the tie breaker of and if you go down to SMU, we also own the tie breaker.

Yeah

 

[mdchick]

I thought we'd be the one seed If the conference tourney was today?


We have the tie breaker over Houston, and if UC and Houston both finish tied, then they go to the record against the 3rd place team, which is Tulsa, which we own the tie breaker of and if you go down to SMU, we also own the tie breaker.

I’m predicting we lose at Houston

 

[cincyguy13]

I’d match rather play uconn than WSU Memphis and Smu
Akok akok just tore his Achilles and they won’t be playing at home.

Yep, Id sign up to play UConn in Texas. We played terrible in UConn and lost by 1. And they lost Akok. I get they are playing better but they still aren’t great

 

[Queens_NYC]

If we only lose @Houston for the remainder of the season then we still should be in the drivers seat for the 2 seed.

Hopefully by then we will have risen from this slump and can have a decent chance to at least make the tourney finals.

 

[sedziobs]

We could get the 2 seed even if we lose twice. We have the tiebreakers over Tulsa, SMU, and Wichita St. Tulsa has a pretty easy remaining schedule though. Our odds of getting at least a first round bye are really good unless we completely fall apart.

 

[mdchick]

We could get the 2 seed even if we lose twice. We have the tiebreakers over Tulsa, SMU, and Wichita St. Tulsa has a pretty easy remaining schedule though. Our odds of getting at least a first round bye are really good unless we completely fall apart.

If we get the 2 I really like our chances making the championship game, but if we play Houston in the championship we are going to the NIT

 

[sirthought]

Here is an interesting website I just learned about that helps predict where the tourney seeding will fall depending on how the remaining record plays out.

You have to pick who is the winner on the remaining games, then click submit.

http://bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

 

[sedziobs]

Thanks, that's pretty cool. It's tough to get us to fall all the way to the 4 seed.

 

[mdchick]

Tulane is playing tulsa at Tulsa and down 3 with under 8 to play, if Tulane wins it essentially clinches us at least the 2 seed which is huge for the quartfinals, the 7 seed will be ether uconn or temple, where if we got the 3 seed the 6 seed would be WSU, Memphis or smu

 

[kskenyon4]

Tulane is playing tulsa at Tulsa and down 3 with under 8 to play, if Tulane wins it essentially clinches us at least the 2 seed which is huge for the quartfinals, the 7 seed will be ether uconn or temple, where if we got the 3 seed the 6 seed would be WSU, Memphis or smu

Tulsa wins by 5.

We need to beat UCF &Temple, and then I think we're pretty safe for the 2 seed.

 

[mdchick]

Tulsa wins by 5.

We need to beat UCF &Temple, and then I think we're pretty safe for the 2 seed.

Tulsa will have to lose at WSU, which should happen or at temple which might happen

This is me predicting a loss at Houston for us

 

[Queens_NYC]

It looks like we are most likely going to end up with a #2/3 seed but we could still grab the #1 seed if we 1) win out 2) Tulsa loses at least one of their final two games (@Temple & @Wichita St) and 3) Memphis wins @Houston on Senior Day.

If we get the #2/3 seed, we will likely have an easier path to the finals but are far less likely to get another Q1 game in the quarters or semi-finals.

 

[cincrulz11]

It looks like we are most likely going to end up with a #2/3 seed but we could still grab the #1 seed if we 1) win out 2) Tulsa loses at least one of their final two games (@Temple & @Wichita St) and 3) Memphis wins @Houston on Senior Day.

If we get the #2/3 seed, we will likely have an easier path to the finals but are far less likely to get another Q1 game in the quarters or semi-finals.

#2 seed is better for the fans from a viewing perspective i believe. #2 seed gets the evening games.



How do things look if we lose tomorrow? How low can we drop?