AAC Conference Tournament

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A million scenarios, but assuming a Tulsa lose, and a UC win. So if we are the 1 seed, our likely path is:

8/9 winner - so either temple/ucf/usf
Then winner of 4/5 game which looks likely to be Memphis/WSU (if they both win)

If it shakes out that way...you have to take it.
 
Played around with that predictor site...meanwhile this is a nightmare scenario.

We beat Temple, Tulsa beats WSU, UConn beats Tulane, Houston beats Memphis.

We are the 3 seed, with a path of UConn then Houston.
 
Here is a link that allows you to run different scenarios and what the outcome would be seeding wise.

http://bball.notnothing.net/aac.php?sport=mbb

I'm predicting victories for UC, SMU, UCF, Houston, UConn and Wichita. If this scenario plays out the final standings would be:



1. Cincinnati (13 - 5) Defeated Houston and Tulsa based on round-robin record (2-1).
2. Houston (13 - 5) Defeated Tulsa and lost to Cincinnati based on round-robin record (2-2).
3. Tulsa (13 - 5) Lost to Cincinnati and Houston based on round-robin record (1-2).
4. Wichita St (11 - 7)
5. SMU (10 - 8) Defeated UConn and Memphis based on round-robin record (3-0).
6. UConn (10 - 8) Defeated Memphis and lost to SMU based on round-robin record (1-2).
7. Memphis (10 - 8) Lost to SMU and UConn based on round-robin record (1-3).
8. UCF (7 - 11)
9. USF (6 - 12) Defeated Temple based on head-to-head record (1-0).
10. Temple (6 - 12) Lost to USF based on head-to-head record (0-1).
11. ECU (5 - 13)
12. Tulane (4 - 14)
 
Just win the AAC tourney and we don’t sweat.

One thing is for sure. Brannen is at least used to this kinda scenario where your regular season is pointless once the conference tourney starts.

Let’s see if he can go on a nice run
 
#1 seed for us. Co-Champs for the 2nd time (I think) to go with 1 outright championship (i think).
 
Jarron also has a couple more days to health. Not sure it will help that much, but lets hope. Healthy Jarron is a game changer.
 
Played around with that predictor site...meanwhile this is a nightmare scenario.

We beat Temple, Tulsa beats WSU, UConn beats Tulane, Houston beats Memphis.

We are the 3 seed, with a path of UConn then Houston.
Moral of story: don’t pay attention to your nightmares
 
We have the easiest possible scenario. Not saying it's going to be easy, but you have to be able to beat WSU or Uconn on a neutral.
 
We have to get past one of the Florida teams first. Those games haven't been easy for us.
 
uconn is not a pushover. they're only 5 spots below us on kenpom.

If UConn gets past WSU and we get past ucf/USF, then UConn will be on it’s 3rd game in days with a very short bench.

That said.


I think if the game is UC vs WSU, then the winner gets in the tourney. Loser is NIT

We’re a 2 bid league I think at this point.

Just a matter of us or WSU
 
It’s impossible to know what we are getting from this team. Too many question marks.

What Jarron are we getting?

What diarra are we getting?

What Vogt?

Are we going to play the whole game, or for 10 minutes?

Hopefully we have turned some kind of corner with diarra and Jarron being able to move but I wouldn’t bet on it.
 
Hypothetical time-
would you rather
win the conference tourney and lose in the first weekend

or go to the sweet 16 and lose the sweet 16 game?

Those are your options, no “but we won’t be in the tourney if we don’t win it”. Have to pick one.
 
Hypothetical time-
would you rather
win the conference tourney and lose in the first weekend

or go to the sweet 16 and lose the sweet 16 game?

Those are your options, no “but we won’t be in the tourney if we don’t win it”. Have to pick one.

Think I would go sweet 16 for the exposure and to kinda get that monkey off our back, But I also like winning championships.
 
If UConn gets past WSU and we get past ucf/USF, then UConn will be on it’s 3rd game in days with a very short bench.

That said.


I think if the game is UC vs WSU, then the winner gets in the tourney. Loser is NIT

We’re a 2 bid league I think at this point.

Just a matter of us or WSU

I like that it’s uconn and not Memphis, Memphis is a terrible matchup for us, uconn and WSU are coin flips
 
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