American Conference Tournament

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How far will UC make it in the AAC Tournament?

  • Quarterfinals

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Semifinals

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Finals

    Votes: 5 18.5%
  • Tournament Champions

    Votes: 22 81.5%

  • Total voters
    27
http://amp.usatoday.com/story/98826950/

USA Today previews "power" conference tournaments. Their words, not mine.

Look at their Top 10 players in the conference. They have McMurray for USF in there. He played 3 games. They also only have 1 UC player. LMAO. SMH. ROFL. JFC.

Someone watched 0 AAC games , saw UC was 16-2, looked up the leading scorer and said "It was probably all bc of this guy". Lol. So lazy. What a slap in the face. Even when we go 16-2, we get no respect.
 
The Andy Katz and Seth Greenberg podcast also includes the AAC in the Conference Tournament preview. Looking like P7 to me!
 
Ken Pomery's Preview for the American Conference Tournament:

The American wasn’t a very entertaining conference. It ranked dead last among conferences in both effective field goal percentage and tempo in conference games. Between elite defenses in SMU, Cincinnati, and UCF and the putrid offenses of East Carolina, UCF, and South Florida, there were plenty of opportunities for low-scoring games.

Qtrs Semis Final Champ
1 SMU 100 89.3 73.5 45.8
2 Cincinnati 100 91.0 62.6 33.8
3 Houston 100 61.9 23.6 9.1
4 UCF 100 55.1 13.4 4.1
6 Connecticut 90.9 37.6 11.6 3.8
5 Memphis 100 44.9 9.1 2.3
8 Temple 68.3 8.8 3.6 0.8
7 Tulsa 70.0 7.8 1.9 0.3
9 East Carolina 31.7 1.8 0.4 0.06
10 Tulane 30.0 1.2 0.1 0.01
11 South Florida 9.1 0.5 0.02 <.001
See the full preview here ---> 2017 American tournament forecast
 
One advantage we have over SMU is our depth and hopefully that plays in our favor when we both (hypothetically) meet to play our 3rd game in 3 days.

Their starters are averaging 162.3 minutes/game collectively.

Ours are averaging 144.4 minutes/game.
 
One advantage we have over SMU is our depth and hopefully that plays in our favor when we both (hypothetically) meet to play our 3rd game in 3 days.

Their starters are averaging 162.3 minutes/game collectively.

Ours are averaging 144.4 minutes/game.

If we ever play a full game against SMU, I think we'll be alright. 2nd half of both games have been all SMU
 
We desperately need Houston to win and to play us. They are sitting at RPI #51 at the moment. If they jump into the top 50 that is huge.
 
We desperately need Houston to win and to play us. They are sitting at RPI #51 at the moment. If they jump into the top 50 that is huge.

We definitely should be rooting for Houston. If they jump into the top 50 and we beat them again, it would boost our rpi top 50 wins to 6 with a chance to add another against SMU.
 
We definitely should be rooting for Houston. If they jump into the top 50 and we beat them again, it would boost our rpi top 50 wins to 6 with a chance to add another against SMU.

Picking up 3 top 50 wins and a top 25 in a 3 game tourney... Would not suck

However, they have a buy like us...So not sure if they can sneak in with a loss to us.

If the committee doesn't somehow factor in teams that are borderline top 50...They are a hot mess
 
Picking up 3 top 50 wins and a top 25 in a 3 game tourney... Would not suck

However, they have a buy like us...So not sure if they can sneak in with a loss to us.

If the committee doesn't somehow factor in teams that are borderline top 50...They are a hot mess

Wouldn't their RPI improved by simply playing us again? Maybe I am just way wrong but I always thought that's a factor.
 
Wouldn't their RPI improved by simply playing us again? Maybe I am just way wrong but I always thought that's a factor.

I think it factors in your record and the record of all the teams you have played. I don't expect they can move a lot with a loss but maybe a little...idk
 
We could say that about every game we have lost tho

That's true...Always could say that.

My confidence about SMU is that we were winning the whole game the first time we played them and winning I'd say 30 of the 40 minutes we played SMU the second time. 70/80 minutes we played them we were beating them.
 
I think it factors in your record and the record of all the teams you have played. I don't expect they can move a lot with a loss but maybe a little...idk

I always thought it was who you played too. So, as long as you schedule good teams who have a good RPI, yours will increase too. Obviously, increases more if you win etc. Kind of how XU's RPI is solid still even though they've only beaten Depaul in the last month and a half
 
I always thought it was who you played too. So, as long as you schedule good teams who have a good RPI, yours will increase too. Obviously, increases more if you win etc. Kind of how XU's RPI is solid still even though they've only beaten Depaul in the last month and a half

RPI formula is real simple
a team's winning percentage (25%), its opponents' winning percentage (50%), and the winning percentage of those opponents' opponents (25%).
 
Given the teams currently ahead of both SMU and Cincinnati it is not likely that either move up to the 4 line. I don't see a scenario where either would jump Purdue, Duke, Butler or West Virginia regardless of winning the AAC Tournament.
 
If you run Houston through RPI wizard on rpiforecast.com with a win in the quarterfinals and loss to UC in the semis their RPI stays at 50.

Also playing around on rpi wizard, if ISU wins against Oklahoma State they move up to 25 in the RPI.

Keep in mind both of these simulations are in a bubble where no other teams play games.
 
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Given the teams currently ahead of both SMU and Cincinnati it is not likely that either move up to the 4 line. I don't see a scenario where either would jump Purdue, Duke, Butler or West Virginia regardless of winning the AAC Tournament.

I think WV is locked. Duke will probably get the benefit of doubt. Not sure about Purdue and Butler. Maybe we could pass them with a quick tourney loss and we win ours.
 
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