Games of Importance for the Resume: 2020 Edition

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Monday February 10

Colgate @ Boston University

Baylor @ Texas

Colgate won their toughest remaining game, and now seems locked into Q3. Texas missed their third consecutive chance for a Q1 win and now sits on 10 losses.

Tuesday February 11

Arkansas @ Tennessee
Bowling Green @ Akron

Penn St @ Purdue
Miss St @ Ole Miss
Rhode Island @ Dayton
Notre Dame @ Virginia
Utah St @ Colorado St

I don't understand why Utah St is even in the conversation (only 3 quality wins and 2 bad losses), but Jerry Palm has them as an 11 seed, so whatever.
 
I don't understand why Utah St is even in the conversation (only 3 quality wins and 2 bad losses), but Jerry Palm has them as an 11 seed, so whatever.

he's consistently one of the worst isn't he?


we weren't even in his first 4 out last i saw.
 
Palm is not great.

Utah St is hanging their hat on OOC wins against Florida and LSU. So far they have zero quality wins in conference, but losses against UNLV and Air Force. Tonight's game at Colorado St might be their last chance for a quality win, so I'm hoping the Rams put an end to it.
 
Tuesday February 11

Arkansas @ Tennessee
Bowling Green @ Akron

Penn St @ Purdue
Miss St @ Ole Miss
Rhode Island @ Dayton
Notre Dame @ Virginia
Utah St @ Colorado St

Tennessee destroyed Arkansas, which makes them a more likely Q2 win and pushes Arkansas closer to the bubble. Virginia and Utah St picked up Q2 wins in close games, so we'll need to win Thursday to keep pace. I'd say we're comfortably ahead of Miss St now. Purdue has 11 losses. Rhode Island currently only has one Q1 win, and has just one opportunity left at home against Dayton.
 
Tuesday February 11

Arkansas @ Tennessee
Bowling Green @ Akron

Penn St @ Purdue
Miss St @ Ole Miss
Rhode Island @ Dayton
Notre Dame @ Virginia
Utah St @ Colorado St

Tennessee destroyed Arkansas, which makes them a more likely Q2 win and pushes Arkansas closer to the bubble. Virginia and Utah St picked up Q2 wins in close games, so we'll need to win Thursday to keep pace. I'd say we're comfortably ahead of Miss St now. Purdue has 11 losses. Rhode Island currently only has one Q1 win, and has just one opportunity left at home against Dayton.

Tennessee is just 7 spots from being a Q3 win.


Need them to finish strong.

But they end the season with 5 straight top 50 games.

Hard to count on them staying q2
 
Tennessee is just 7 spots from being a Q3 win.
Need them to finish strong.
But they end the season with 5 straight top 50 games.
Hard to count on them staying q2
NET rankings haven't updated yet today. I think they'll move up 5 spots or so. Agreed on them needing a strong finish. I think ending the season with only top 50 games actually helps. There are no landmines.

Edit: just updated. Tennessee moved up to 62.
 
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Wednesday February 12

New Hampshire @ Vermont
East Carolina @ Tulsa
Houston @ South Florida

Butler @ Xavier
The Citadel @ East Tennessee St
Richmond @ LaSalle
George Mason @ VCU
Alabama @ Auburn
Illinois St @ Northern Iowa
Florida @ Texas A&M
Iowa St @ Oklahoma
 
Wednesday February 12

New Hampshire @ Vermont
East Carolina @ Tulsa
Houston @ South Florida

Xavier @ Butler
The Citadel @ East Tennessee St
Richmond @ LaSalle
George Mason @ VCU
Alabama @ Auburn
Illinois St @ Northern Iowa
Florida @ Texas A&M
Iowa St @ Oklahoma

VCU picks up their first bad loss at home against George Mason. I expect we'll take their spot in the field.
 
Thursday February 13

Iowa @ Indiana
Washington @ USC

Arizona St @ Stanford is an interesting bubble game. Arizona St has better quadrant records than most bubble teams, but their Kenpom ranking is #66. Stanford has weak quadrant records, but is top 30 in the NET. Bracketmatrix prefers Stanford, but I lean towards Arizona St as having the stronger overall resume. I think their efficiency numbers are skewed by a 40 pt loss at St Marys and a 28 pt loss at Arizona.
 
Wednesday February 12

New Hampshire @ Vermont
East Carolina @ Tulsa
Houston @ South Florida

Xavier @ Butler
The Citadel @ East Tennessee St
Richmond @ LaSalle
George Mason @ VCU
Alabama @ Auburn
Illinois St @ Northern Iowa
Florida @ Texas A&M
Iowa St @ Oklahoma

VCU picks up their first bad loss at home against George Mason. I expect we'll take their spot in the field.

Vermont won their 10th game in a row last night and are up to #82 in NET. Aside from a rematch (of their only conference loss so far) at Stony Brook next Thursday, they should likely run through their remaining regular season schedule pretty easily.

With SMU and UConn on the brink of losing Q2 status, and Tulsa unlikely to rise 11 spots to Q2 with 4 tough road games remaining, Vermont getting to Q2 is our last hope of getting a resume boost through OOC victories.
 
Vermont won their 10th game in a row last night and are up to #82 in NET. Aside from a rematch (of their only conference loss so far) at Stony Brook next Thursday, they should likely run through their remaining regular season schedule pretty easily.

With SMU and UConn on the brink of losing Q2 status, and Tulsa unlikely to rise 11 spots to Q2 with 4 tough road games remaining, Vermont getting to Q2 is our last hope of getting a resume boost through OOC victories.

Yea.

The more I look at it, the more I see a very thin and fragile resume that is relying on uconn, and Jank to hold it together and for frank haith to improve it. Its bad.


If I had to guess, I think you'd need to win out the rest of the regular season to make the tourney. One loss, even to Houston likely puts us on the outside.


Just win the conference tourney and its all pointless. BUT lose one more game to anyone on our schedule and we should feel real nervous
 
Yea.

The more I look at it, the more I see a very thin and fragile resume that is relying on uconn, and Jank to hold it together and for frank haith to improve it. Its bad.


If I had to guess, I think you'd need to win out the rest of the regular season to make the tourney. One loss, even to Houston likely puts us on the outside.


nope
 
I'd like to keep this thread focused on the games we don't play. Let's put speculation on what results we need in our games in the bracketology thread.

True, our resume has some teams barely hanging onto their quadrants (Houston as well). Other bubble teams have the same situation too. That's why I track these games - results that are outside our control matter. For what it's worth, Torvik predicts that Vermont will end up in the top 75, and both UConn and Tulsa will stay there.
 
Thursday February 13

Iowa @ Indiana
Washington @ USC


Indiana got a big Q1 win. USC picks up a Q2 win.

UCF may be in danger of dropping out of the top 135 after their 17 pt home loss to Wichita St.
 
Saturday February 15

Bowling Green @ Ball St
Binghamton @ Vermont
Tennessee @ South Carolina

Oklahoma @ Kansas
E Tenn St @ VMI
Georgetown @ Butler
LSU @ Alabama
VCU @ Richmond
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago
Pacific @ St Marys
Washington St @ USC
Vanderbilt @ Florida
Utah St @ Fresno St
Arizona @ Stanford
Virginia @ North Carolina

Other games that I can't decide who to root for are Houston @ SMU and Miss St @ Arkansas.
 
Other games that I can't decide who to root for are Houston @ SMU and Miss St @ Arkansas.

we need houston to stay a quad 1 win no matter what don't we? houston is a favorite, we probably need them to go ahead and win. sucks if smu drops from quad 2, but those quad 1 wins seem so important.
 
we need houston to stay a quad 1 win no matter what don't we? houston is a favorite, we probably need them to go ahead and win. sucks if smu drops from quad 2, but those quad 1 wins seem so important.
You're not wrong. If it was March 7 I would definitely agree. It's hard to tell this early for games where we'd want both teams to win.
 
Saturday February 15

Bowling Green @ Ball St
Binghamton @ Vermont
Tennessee @ South Carolina

Oklahoma @ Kansas
E Tenn St @ VMI
Georgetown @ Butler
LSU @ Alabama

VCU @ Richmond
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago
Pacific @ St Marys
Washington St @ USC
Vanderbilt @ Florida
Utah St @ Fresno St

Arizona @ Stanford
Virginia @ North Carolina

Not a great day overall. Georgetown got a huge win at Butler that probably puts them in the field. Alabama and Virginia picked up quality wins. On the other side, Arkansas, Stanford and VCU continue to struggle.
 


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