There were good things that happened tonight, and if the 'Cats are satisfied with another 23-10 season or somewhere thereabout, and perhaps another NCAA win before going home in their 2nd game, then they're plenty good for that.
If they have any designs on more than that, then they're going to have to find answers for the following:
-First 4-5 minutes...
vs. Butler outscored 11-3
vs. Xavier outscored 13-3
vs. Ia. St. outscored 14-2
Is that enough to qualify as a trend against excellent teams/in losses? I'd say so. You simply can't spot Top 10 teams 8-12 point leads to start games and expect to ice skate all the way back to the top of the hill. We can argue about the closing out as well (the other common thread is that they faded late in all 3 of these games) but I personally feel like at the very least, Butler and Iowa State were truly lost in the 1st half. We see it over and over again at every level - team falls behind early, makes herculean comeback and even takes a lead, only to fall at the end - and the Bearcats are no exception.
-Dribble penetration. Oh dear Lord. This defense is a corner 3 waiting to happen. Serendipitous that the shot that sealed our fate tonight was the same shot we've been leaving wide open all year. Mick says that was Jacob's fault and I defer to the Coach but at least part of the blame IMO goes to KJ and Ellis. KJ completely vacated that side of the floor to help on a guy that hadn't even really started to drive yet, and Ellis drifted to the opposite side of the court leaving Jacob to guard Tay's guy down low. Anyway, I digress. Iowa State ran more intricate offense than I'm giving credit for, I'm sure, but to me it was a simple pro-style penetrate/kick and pick/pop system. Our "guards" can't guard the ball, and our off the ball defenders drift WAY too far from their men off that dribble penetration. Let Ellis/Clark/DeBerry deal with the penetration the way our old teams let Kenyon/Max/Hicks deal with it. OK, maybe Ellis is the only one who could deal with it like Kenyon could, but I'd rather see Tay swiping at a floater at the rim than screaming my fool head off "STAY ON YOUR MAN!!!!!" to a TV screen that refuses to respond to my commands.
Ellis and Clark vex me, man. Half the time, they look like unstoppable beasts down low on both ends; the other half, I'm scanning the court to see if they're still there. Ellis in particular blew my mind about 3 times tonight with under 2 minutes left in the game; lastly was the aforementioned drift on ISU's winning 3; firstly was that completely unnecessary travel/non-travel (we HAVE to lead the NCAA in unforced turnovers); and in the middle was the turnover on Caupain which I put squarely at Ellis' feet unless someone with a sharper basketball IQ than I have talks me out of it. It appeared to me like Ellis was supposed to roll to the basket (the end result of which would have been a dunk) but instead he just stopped - much like a receiver cutting off his route - and waited for the pass to come to him, allowing his man to cut in front of him. Now maybe I'm wrong, but looking at it 2 or 3 times it certainly looks that way to me. Just another in a line of mental miscues and unforced mistakes that add up and explode off the page when you lose by 2.
I have some opinions on Caupain (who else can handle the frigging ball outside of Troy and Jacob? Nobody that I see unless someone invents a time machine to watch Justin Jenifer in 2017) but I'll leave those for another day. Bottom line is you've had 2 winnable games against Top 10 teams, IN YOUR OWN GYM, and lost them both. Now the non-conference slate has come and gone and the biggest chances you had to build a real, quality resume that could merit a top-4 tourney seed have come and gone. Your margin for error in the AAC just got a ton slimmer - can't lose to East Carolina on the road this year - if they expect to move up the ladder and get people to take them seriously as a Sweet 16 contender or better. It's doable, and I believe they can, but it's ultimately up to them to decide who they want to be. All I can do is watch, hope, and cheer...which I will be doing.