new metric

[Cin City]

Those 3 teams are a combined 12-10. The rest of Temple's wins are over teams with losing records. Hopefully they can stay within 10 at Villanova.

Wouldn't surprise me if they beat Nova. Never know.

 

[sedziobs]

This week's rankings are out. Top 75 teams on our schedule:

20. Ohio St
28. Houston
32. Miss St
41. Cincinnati
42. UCLA
51. UConn
62. Xavier
64. UCF
71. Ole Miss
72. Temple

Outlook has improved this week. Almost everyone moved up.

19. Ohio St
24. Houston
29. Miss St
36. Cincinnati
38. UCLA
57. UConn
65. Temple
67. Ole Miss
70. UCF
73. Xavier

 

[sedziobs]

Our schedule continues to get stronger in the NET rankings:

13. Ohio St
14. Houston
28. Cincinnati
31. Miss St
35. UCLA
53. UConn
55. Ole Miss
67. Temple
68. Xavier
70. UCF

 

[cincrulz11]

Our schedule continues to get stronger in the NET rankings:

13. Ohio St
14. Houston
28. Cincinnati
31. Miss St
35. UCLA
53. UConn
55. Ole Miss
67. Temple
68. Xavier
70. UCF

conference is looking better. the conference mix this year seems perfect for the team we currently have. nobody is better than us but there are still plenty of valuable wins to pick up.

 

[sedziobs]

Lots of movement in the last week. NET rankings are starting to look more like Kenpom now.

10. Houston
17. Miss St
24. Ohio St
29. Cincinnati
41. UCLA
47. Ole Miss
62. UCF
65. Xavier
76. Temple
90. UConn
98. Tulsa
117. Memphis
121. South Florida
131. Wichita St
150. SMU
154. UNLV

 

[waterhead]

The Torvik site has a new NET predictor page. Before the UCLA game it had us losing 7 games on probability. Now has us losing 5. The NET result of that would put us at a rank of 13th. 4-4 in Quad 1 and 6-1 in quad 2. Obviously things can change with the quadrants of the teams we play.

Fun and interesting...take it with a grain of salt until we see a few tough conference road games.

http://barttorvik.com/net4cast.php

 

[sedziobs]

Nice. I was hoping someone would develop something like this. Warren Nolan has NET team sheets now too.

 

[cincrulz11]

The Torvik site has a new NET predictor page. Before the UCLA game it had us losing 7 games on probability. Now has us losing 5. The NET result of that would put us at a rank of 13th. 4-4 in Quad 1 and 6-1 in quad 2. Obviously things can change with the quadrants of the teams we play.

Fun and interesting...take it with a grain of salt until we see a few tough conference road games.

http://barttorvik.com/net4cast.php

i think 10 total quad 1 and 2 wins is going to be on the lower side. we'll see how that works with finishing 13th in net (if thats how it all works out).


always interesting to see how the committee interprets the data the first year.

 

[waterhead]

i think 10 total quad 1 and 2 wins is going to be on the lower side. we'll see how that works with finishing 13th in net (if thats how it all works out).


always interesting to see how the committee interprets the data the first year.

We will see. I guess X and Tulsa could end up quad 2. But that would mean none of the other teams fall. There is a lot of scalping going on in conference.

 

[waterhead]

The NET Forecast went back to 6 losses (from 5) after the latest UCF game. 3-4 in quad 1 and 6-2 in quad 2.

I would probably put our losses at 5.5 right now with a 1.5 margin of error.

 

[sedziobs]

Update:

4.Houston
18. Miss St
19. Ohio St
25. Cincinnati
41. UCF
43. Ole Miss
62. Temple
70. Xavier
90. Tulsa
91. UConn
93. UCLA
96. Memphis
102. South Florida
133. Wichita St
137. SMU
155. UNLV

Most teams have improved. An obvious exception is UCLA.

 

[Queens_NYC]

Update:

4.Houston
18. Miss St
19. Ohio St
25. Cincinnati
41. UCF
43. Ole Miss
62. Temple
70. Xavier
90. Tulsa
91. UConn
93. UCLA
96. Memphis
102. South Florida
133. Wichita St
137. SMU
155. UNLV

Most teams have improved. An obvious exception is UCLA.

It'd be nice if Ole Miss could continue to win during SEC play and be our "17/18 Buffalo" quality neutral court win of the 18/19 season.

 

[sedziobs]

Our bad loss is currently Quadrant 3, as long as East Carolina stays in the top 240. Ole Miss, UCF, Tulsa, Memphis and SMU moved up quite a bit.

4. Houston (Q1,Q1)
18. Miss St (Q1)
28. Ohio St (Q1)
32. UCF (Q1,Q2)
33. Cincinnati
35. Ole Miss (Q1)
61. Temple (Q1)
75. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
78. Tulsa (Q2)
80. Xavier
89. UCLA
96. South Florida
113. UConn (Q2)
121. SMU (Q2)
135. Wichita St (Q2)
165. UNLV
230. East Carolina (Q3)

 

[sedziobs]

Updated rankings including the weekend games.

8. Houston (Q1,Q1)
24. Ole Miss (Q1)
33. UCF (Q1,Q2)
34. Miss St (Q1)
35. Cincinnati
36. Ohio St (Q2)
44. Temple (Q1)
74. Memphis (Q1,Q2)
77. Xavier
87. UConn (Q2)
92. UCLA
94. South Florida
106. Tulsa (Q2)
109. SMU (Q2)
127. Wichita St (Q2)
148. UNLV
218. East Carolina (Q3)

 

[sedziobs]

Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1, Q1)
25. Ole Miss (Q1)
27. Miss St (Q1)
32. Cincinnati
37. UCF (Q1, Q2)
39. Ohio St (Q2)
61. Temple (Q1)
66. Memphis (Q1, Q2)
80. Xavier
89. UConn (Q2)
100. Tulsa (Q2)
106. UCLA
107. South Florida
115. Wichita St (Q2)
125. SMU (Q2)
150. UNLV
226. East Carolina (Q3)

 

[david aka the TYZ]

I hate that the link for the net isnt more interactive like the live-rpi was. And that it doesnt update constantly. I liked that you could click on the team and see the schedule breakdown. The NCAA I dont think really cares too much about it being interactive

 

[sedziobs]

Warren Nolan's site has NET rankings that seem to update immediately after the NCAA posts them. You can see schedules and team sheets there.

 

[david aka the TYZ]

Warren Nolan's site has NET rankings that seem to update immediately after the NCAA posts them. You can see schedules and team sheets there.

I'll have to use that site instead, thanks

 

[waterhead]

T-rank has the NETcast with UC as finishing #18 with 6 losses. Houston at #13. I would be absolutely thrilled with 6 losses at this point.

I look at 6 total losses as a minimum right now and I would still be happy with 7. 3 more conference losses would still put us in the hunt for the conference title I think. Any team with 3 or less probably wins the conference outright. 4 would probably be a tie otherwise. In order to win the conference we can't get swept by anyone. There are 5 teams with 1 loss as we speak. UC and UCF have the toughest remaining schedules of those teams (#1, #2) and Houston has the easiest followed by Temple and then Memphis (#8, #7, #5).

ECU is probably going to haunt us

 

[sedziobs]

Weekly update:

7. Houston (Q1, Q1)
23. Cincinnati
27. Mississippi St (Q1)
35. Ole Miss (Q1)
37. Ohio St (Q2)
40. UCF (Q1, Q2)
54. Memphis (Q1, Q2)
60. Temple (Q1)
78. UConn (Q2)
80. South Florida
83. Xavier
93. NKU
98. UCLA
109. Tulsa (Q2)
120. SMU (Q2)
129. George Mason
134. Wichita St (Q2)
154. UNLV
253. East Carolina (Q4)