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its got a decent shot to be a 1 bid league with that bid being a 7-10 seed. the league lost a ton of talent. it might be a more competitive conference, but no teams in the top 30 isn't a very good conference.

As of today, it looks like we have 4 tier 1 wins and 4 tier 2 wins available to us in the conference portion of the schedule.

Last season we had 4 tier 1 and 3 tier 2..... the league is better, if UConn and Memphis move up as well like I expect they should, our league will provide more opportunities for every one in this league.

We just need to collectively do work in the non conference
 
Jennifer is trash on defense against any team that's not playing high school point guards. Against some of the teams we have in the AAC he's adequate enough but people need to stop acting like he's some great defender. He's just not.

The numbers and synergy say he is an excellent defender.

And the narrative that says he is only a good defender because of Gary and Kyle, is also not supported by facts. His worst defense came on shots 17 ft and closer, his best defense came on everything 18ft she beyond. Call it what you want, but he grades out as an excellent perimeter defender. He doesn’t generate steals, but you don’t need to to be a great defender to do that.

His pick and roll converse was excellent according to synergy.


He played good defense on the perimeter. And it’s hard to show me evidence he didn’t
 
As of today, it looks like we have 4 tier 1 wins and 4 tier 2 wins available to us in the conference portion of the schedule.

Last season we had 4 tier 1 and 3 tier 2..... the league is better, if UConn and Memphis move up as well like I expect they should, our league will provide more opportunities for every one in this league.

We just need to collectively do work in the non conference


our conference benefited a great deal last year from rpi being awful. we stacked up much better in the quad system under rpi than we did if it used kenpom if my memory is correct. i could be wrong but i swear i remember looking that up last year.



a quick peak at some schedules and some of the teams have some OOC games that could really give the conference a boost. a lot of the teams have a lot of roster turnover, they might be a lot better in feb than early on, which won't do our conference a bit of good in resume if they can't pull off some of those early games.
 
The numbers and synergy say he is an excellent defender.

And the narrative that says he is only a good defender because of Gary and Kyle, is also not supported by facts. His worst defense came on shots 17 ft and closer, his best defense came on everything 18ft she beyond. Call it what you want, but he grades out as an excellent perimeter defender. He doesn’t generate steals, but you don’t need to to be a great defender to do that.

His pick and roll converse was excellent according to synergy.


He played good defense on the perimeter. And it’s hard to show me evidence he didn’t



broome was very good according to synergy as well right? jenifer does scrap his way through a lot of screens, but we also switch most screens right? i dont think either of them are great at stopping penetration. could be a problem playing them both.
 
With that being said our defense has always been the system. as long as guys stay disciplined our defense is always going to be great. maybe not as good as last year, but we will always be in the top 25.
 
I was also at the scrimmage. I'm not nearly as optimistic about what I saw though.

The best part of the night was Logan Johnson really showed his upside. We've really never had a player like him since Cronin has been here. I had seen his YouTube videos but I never thought he looked all that athletic in them but he always looked like a very solid, high iq player who just found ways to get where he wanted. Boy was that wrong. This guy is bouncy but still very smooth basketball wise. I expect to be very frustrated with his lack of playing time this year with Jenifer ahead of him. Sure he's going to make lots of mistakes, but I think long term we'd better by the end of the year if he played a lot. The block he had where he pinned it was super quick... He stole an outlet pass in the first few minutes that I don't know how he got there. The team in Black put him in pick n roll a bunch, and he was physical trying to defend albeit he seemed to be thinking a little bit too much on some of these actions. I'm sure that will improve, but will ultimately be what dictates his playing time.

Cumberland looks like he lost weight. He was noticeably quicker. He was about exactly what everyone expected from him.

Jenifer was 2-9 in the first half, not sure what the final stat line was. He did knock down two or three 3's though, but I think his career shooting is a better predictor of what's to come. Bright side is he actually didn't seem to hesitate to shoot from 3, so hopefully if he's just selective and only takes wide open in rhythm catch and shoot looks, he'll be ok.

Fredericks looked lost to me. Not sure if the competition level is too big of a jump, he just had an off night, or what, but he seemed like just another guy.

Brooks/Eliel/Diarra are all exactly what you thought they were.

Cane's floater game and ability to finish over bigs and in the paint looked good. He knocked down a few 3's too.

Trevor Moore is a very good shooter when catch and shoot. He doesn't do a lot more than that on offense, but that's ok because i don't think he has a very good handle nor is good at creating. The spacing he allows our offense with his shooting ability is important. If he isn't requiring teams to not leave him, we're going to have a very clogged paint.

I see everyone's very excited with Scott. I really just didn't see it. I thought his game was more of a product of his competition. His season is going to tell a lot about how far we go, so hopefully in wrong.


Prince/Hardnett aren't anywhere near ready.

Keith Williams. Still not a good shooter. I think he's our irrational confidence guy, in he's going to take some terrible shots and do some awful stuff, but some nights it will work out fall in the hoop. I did forget about just how athletic he is. He's going to translate that athleticism into high level wing defense for our defense to reach similarly high levels. His ability to create is still lacking, but he will try that's for sure.

I thought we did play with more pace than normal, but it's practice and I've thought that many years before expecting a change. Not falling for that trap again.


I thought our defense overall in the scrimmage was trash. But again, it's October, a scrimmage, and we have the athletes to guard. Add in Cronin's history and I'm sure we'll be a top 30 kpom defense with a chance at cracking the top 15.

This team seemed scrappy in the scrimmage. They played hard. Legitimately very hard. The last five minutes got really intense when the Red team made their run.

Overall predictions:
Win between 20 and 24 games.
Bubble team most of the year that probably gets in and finishes with an 8-12 seed. Maybe win one tournament game.

Lol
 

At this point, I'm done responding itt. You provide zero counter to anything substantive I provided. Why do you even feel the need to post that?

I'm not some negative fan. Go read my post history or try wrapping your brain around someone having serious concerns about our offense.

Responses like yours aren't productive. Posters like you can take a hike as far as I'm concerned you're blocked. Good Day Sir!
 
With that being said our defense has always been the system. as long as guys stay disciplined our defense is always going to be great. maybe not as good as last year, but we will always be in the top 25.
Hmmm...Obviously Gary was great, but last year, everyone, including at times the head coach, cited Kyle's defense as his major weakness. He may have blocked some shots, but I think players like Nsoseme might be an upgrade defensively...now the offense on the other hand...
 
Hmmm...Obviously Gary was great, but last year, everyone, including at times the head coach, cited Kyle's defense as his major weakness. He may have blocked some shots, but I think players like Nsoseme might be an upgrade defensively...now the offense on the other hand...


theres a good chance last years defense was the best we'll ever see here. statistically it was off the charts. we forced a very low shooting% against, we turned teams over a lot, we didn't give up a lot of Ft, we stopped 3's, we blocked a ton of shots. Our only weakness was giving up offensive rebounds.


its going to take a step back cause nobody can be gary and the perimeter is going to go from jake to broome.
 
theres a good chance last years defense was the best we'll ever see here. statistically it was off the charts. we forced a very low shooting% against, we turned teams over a lot, we didn't give up a lot of Ft, we stopped 3's, we blocked a ton of shots. Our only weakness was giving up offensive rebounds.


its going to take a step back cause nobody can be gary and the perimeter is going to go from jake to broome.


It can take a step back and still be top 10.
 
theres a good chance last years defense was the best we'll ever see here. statistically it was off the charts. we forced a very low shooting% against, we turned teams over a lot, we didn't give up a lot of Ft, we stopped 3's, we blocked a ton of shots. Our only weakness was giving up offensive rebounds.


its going to take a step back cause nobody can be gary and the perimeter is going to go from jake to broome.

So the defense is going to take a step back the Offense will take a step back as well as three 1K scorers left and the coaching staff took a step back in tenure with LD leaving. The only thing improving this year is the arena
 
So the defense is going to take a step back the Offense will take a step back as well as three 1K scorers left and the coaching staff took a step back in tenure with LD leaving. The only thing improving this year is the arena


can't really deny any of those things, but they play the games for a reason.



maybe we win the conference and get hot in the tournament. who knows what could happen.



this team probably has the highest chance of missing the tournament of any team we've had since we got to this conference. but its also probably the easiest road to the tournament since we've been in this conference.


just get to the tournament and hope luck happens.
 
So the defense is going to take a step back the Offense will take a step back as well as three 1K scorers left and the coaching staff took a step back in tenure with LD leaving. The only thing improving this year is the arena

Lol.

Yes. We will take a step back from back to back 30 win seasons. If that disappoints you, I have no idea what expectation you had for this team.

Keep in mind we didn’t recruit around losing Jacob Evans. Had he not left, we’d be once again talking about a potential 30 win season.

But because he did leave, this team team has some questions to answer. I’m not sure about you, but that excites me. I’m excited to see the growth of Keith, Trevor, eliel, & Tre Scott. I’m excited to see Cane Broome start off the ball and show off the excitement his game brings. I’m excited to see Jarron Cumberland, the highest rated recruit on the team the last 2 seasons, finally get his time to shine.

I’m excited to see what kind of game Fredericks brings to the table. Or if Logan Johnson can make the crowd ooh and aah like he did last thurs.

I’m excited for the new arena, and the top tier opponents we host in it. I’m excited to see what penny and Hurley bring to this league.

There is a whole lot to be excited about. Some people let that Nevada loss break their soul when it comes to uc. And yet, I remember that, as tough as they game was for me, it was still one of the funnest seasons to watch in a long while.

I appreciate the journey of a following a team. A lot to be excited about. I waited all summer for this. This isn’t casual for me. This is the best sport in the world played at my favorite university. Everyone needs to lighten up and enjoy it.
 
can't really deny any of those things, but they play the games for a reason.



maybe we win the conference and get hot in the tournament. who knows what could happen.



this team probably has the highest chance of missing the tournament of any team we've had since we got to this conference. but its also probably the easiest road to the tournament since we've been in this conference.


just get to the tournament and hope luck happens.


In my opinion, the year after SK left, is the year we most likely should have missed the tourney based on personnel. We didn’t have a single double digit scorer that year. And sophomore Troy caupain was no where near the scorer and alpha jarron is.

Jr jarron is better than soph Troy
Sr cane is better then jr farad Cobb (by a lot)
SO Williams better then SO kJ
SO Trevor is better then or even with SR jermaine sanders
Sr jenifer is better then Fr morman
Jr fredericks is better then jr Shaq Thomas
RS JR Tre Scott is even or even better then Fresh Gary Clark
SO eliel nsoseme is even or better then jr deberry

Octavious is better then brooks. On both sides. But Ellis was more vital to that uc team than brooks will ever be.

Diarra is better then quadri Moore. No evidence yet, but we all know it

Logan Johnson has no counterpart on this team, and yet he is better than morman, and can be just as productive as KJ or jermaine Lawrence
 
In my opinion, the year after SK left, is the year we most likely should have missed the tourney based on personnel. We didn’t have a single double digit scorer that year. And sophomore Troy caupain was no where near the scorer and alpha jarron is.


but we could score from both posts that year. ellis and clark gave us 18 points 15 boards a game combined. we probably dont get close to that production from those 2 spots this year.



SO KJ was his best year. 35% from 3 somehow. Troy had his best shooting year by far that year too.



Big downgrade at PG and big downgrade at C. Big upgrade at SF. Question mark at SG until we see what Mick allows Broome to do. If Broome still isn't allowed to play his game then its a wash. Scott would have to take a big leap to get to freshman Gary. As we all know its a lot to go from doing it 10 minutes a game to 25+.


I just think not having a single player you can throw it to in the post severely limits the capabilities of an offense.


that 2015 team played the slowest of any team micks had here. they couldn't shoot at all and turned the ball over a ton. those games were hard to watch. i would expect us to look a lot like that team.
 
but we could score from both posts that year. ellis and clark gave us 18 points 15 boards a game combined. we probably dont get close to that production from those 2 spots this year.



SO KJ was his best year. 35% from 3 somehow. Troy had his best shooting year by far that year too.



Big downgrade at PG and big downgrade at C. Big upgrade at SF. Question mark at SG until we see what Mick allows Broome to do. If Broome still isn't allowed to play his game then its a wash. Scott would have to take a big leap to get to freshman Gary. As we all know its a lot to go from doing it 10 minutes a game to 25+.


I just think not having a single player you can throw it to in the post severely limits the capabilities of an offense.


that 2015 team played the slowest of any team micks had here. they couldn't shoot at all and turned the ball over a ton. those games were hard to watch. i would expect us to look a lot like that team.

I think the opposite.

There are a ton of successful teams around the league who lack post scorers.
I want our bigs scoring on lobs after rolls to the rim and put backs.


We can’t play a faster pace of basketball if we throw everything into the post and let them work.

I want a faster paced guard oriented offense. And this team is far more suited for that.

I’m 100% confident that mick doesn’t handicap cane. He’s said multiple times this year that he really messed with canes head last year by playing him at the point when he had never really played point guard. He will be asked to score. And he scores too well to hold him back. I’ll take cane over every other guard on that year after SK roster. And as good as Troy was his freshman year, he still wasn’t aggressive. He took just 7 shots a game, and most were mid range or 3 pointers. I think Justin has an under rated 3 point shooting stroke that can be helpful to this tram.

And while Gary was great for a freshman. He still only put up 8 points a game, which I think Tre can match and also match his rebounding numbers.

I mean if I could add Octavious Ellis to this years team, I wouldn’t. Because as good as he was at blocking shots, he also Lead the team in turnovers and really lacked any offensive game. He never got better offensively.

Either way, I’ll 109% take this years roster over that teams roster. We had to run the matchup zone almost exclusively because our bigs needed to stay in the paint.
 
I think the opposite.

There are a ton of successful teams around the league who lack post scorers.
I want our bigs scoring on lobs after rolls to the rim and put backs.


We can’t play a faster pace of basketball if we throw everything into the post and let them work.

I want a faster paced guard oriented offense. And this team is far more suited for that.


teams that don't run offense like we do. the way we run offense is on its way out of basketball, but until we actually change, im not going to believe we'll change.


last years team had every chance in the world to not clog the lane. everybody could shoot and we could have easily spread the floor. we just don't.


so if you want to run 2 bigs in the post like we do, but neither of them can score in the post, you're going to run into trouble.
 
I think Justin has an under rated 3 point shooting stroke that can be helpful to this tram.

unless he cut down on the arc of that shot he's never going to be consistent. most of his makes come from a handful of games and the rest of the time its bad. i've never seen a guy air ball more 3's than he does.


he was 19-60 after the start of december last year which is 31.7%. he was 23% in march. he was 11-24 in november though. Broome was really bad in march too and i think 39% is too much to ask of him again.


i would expect jenifer and broome to be in the 30-36% range, hopefully they are both on the high side. Jarron probably in that same range too.
 
I think the opposite.

There are a ton of successful teams around the league who lack post scorers.
I want our bigs scoring on lobs after rolls to the rim and put backs.


from a general sense, post scorers are becoming less and less important. its about spacing and shooting now. i would love it if we followed the trend. its a more free flowing and fun game to watch.



when i think about last year I still can't figure out why we didn't do more pnr's and pick and pops. that really should have been a decent part of our offense and we rarely utilized it. if we didn't use it last year, ill be surprised to use it this year.
 
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