I mean you can say we're 31-3 and that makes us a 4 seed. But if we're living in a bubble. We're not though. For us to be a 4 seed, some one else has to completely collapse.
Kentucky is our best bet but we'd have to hope Florida stars does the same. We also need to hope a team like creighton doesn't catch fire and win our because they have the resume to steal our 4 seed bid.
We are in the drivers seat for a 5 seed. Maybe if a few teams crash we sneak in
The 5 seed is one of the worst draws in the tournament. They are snake bitten in round 1 (against the 12 seed) and theoretically will have to face the 1 seed even if things go well the first two games. Give me the 6 seed any day over the 5. The same goes for the 7-10 over the 8-9.
I would rather stay away from the 1 seed side of the bracket unless we can get a 4 seed and hope for the 1 seed to get knocked off before we play them.
The 6 seed has made the elite 8...14 times and the 5 seed 8 times since 1985. The 7-10 teams have made it 9 and 8 times. Those are the benefits of the 2-3 side of the bracket.
That being said the committee will probably stick us with the 5.