Quick scout of UCONN:
Record: 11-11
RPI:#87 (tier 2 if we win)
Kenpom: #166 (gross)
KP Off: #217
KP Def: #121
Best wins: #71 Oregon 71-63, #101 UCF 62-53, #51 SMU
Worst Losses: #122 @Tulsa 2xOT, #154 @Memphis, #101 @UCF
PPG: 67.3
PPG against: 71.6
Offense:
They shoot free throws well.... and thats about it. In all seriousness, UCONN sucks offensively and a huge part of it is Kevin Ollie's fault. Ollie attempts to run a pro style offense which includes a ton of isolation plays where Jalen Adams has a ton of pressure to score for them. This is a very guard oriented team and Ollie doesn't ever seem to know how to develop bigs and also involve them in the offense. They'd rather chuck a contested 3 than to establish the post. That said, while he is not very efficient, I do think Christian Vital has a lot of heart and fight in him. At the end of games, he seems like he is out there trying to will his team to victory even though he just doesn't have the skill to do so. This is a perfect team to run the Matchup zone against. They don't shoot well at all, so clogging the lanes will be a big help and should help keep us out of foul trouble. Great passing teams breakdown our defense and passing is one of the things UCONN is just terrible at.
Defense:
Uconn will play multiple different defenses through the game and most do not work. And the bright side, is if they do by chance force up a bad shot, they defensive rebound at a god aweful rate. Teams against UCONN'd defense are grabbing an 31% of their misses. That doesn't bode well for UCONN with UC snatching up a #2 in the nation 40% of its misses. Usually you can count on UCONN to at least be decent on the defensive end but they have been really poor this season and rank 60 spots worse than last season.
Overall:
Uconn does have pride and teams with pride and familiarity with each other never seem to go down easy. By my count they are 5-0 in Gampel pavilion with wins over UCF and SMU in that gym and they will embrace playing us in their gym. If we contain Jalen Adams and terry Larrier, we really have no worries. But if we let them get hot and it could be a much closer game than expected. It also doesn't help that its a noon tip off and we usually are still sleeping until about 12:30. Need to come out and break their backs early.
65-53 UC
EDIT: One thing I left out; While I did mention that Vital being the guy who seems to hate losing the most, I should also mention that in UCONN"s 2 biggest wins at home, Vital was the kenpom MVP. He poured in 18 points against UCF and had 7 rebounds. And then added 20 points including 5 triples and 4 assists against SMU. He maybe the emotional leader of this team, not Adams or Larrier. Need to guard him on the 3 point line even if the scouting reports shows he is not a great shooter from deep