jacobkdoyle
Well-known member
- Joined
- Mar 23, 2014
- Messages
- 17,008
Yeah I'm not saying it will be easy, but as it's been stated before, we will be a favorite in probably every game the rest of the season. 17-3 in favored games isn't that difficult when you think about it that way. I just think this team has it in them this year. Time will tell, but I'm confident in 26-5, even a game or two better if things go right.
There's an old adage in gambling that if you pick 75% winners, the spread becomes irrelevant and you'll make money. That includes even the biggest spreads. I think that suggests that the favorite doesn't win 3 out of 4 games. So for us to win 85%+, when you figure that despite being the favorite, it will rarely be by double digits, seems extremely difficult to me.