2016-2017 Season

[2bearcatdad]

24-7

Another prediction.

 

[ervins84]

First team in the Cronin era to shoot >50% from 2 on the season.

Best kpom adj pt per possession @1.13

Best Assist % and Best TO % in his era too.

 

[2bearcatdad]

With no injuries I am going with 26-5. This is the year we win more than our share of the really close games and it all just comes together (on hands and knees praying). Caupain has a very special year, Clark finally goes meanface, Evans takes on a much bigger role, and Washington changes the chemistry of the team in a very big way. Our new players surprise and role players step up their game.

A man can dream huh??? UC fans need this one...

This was close.

 

[justinhub2003]

Just read that Troy is 30 assists away from tying all time assists record at 511

Would be awesome to see him do it. We have at least 6 games left. So just 5 assists per game and he is tied for the lead and 1 away from best ever.

Pretty sure Troy is 12 assists away from being all time leader

 

[jacobkdoyle]

We held 14 of our 31 opponents to 55 or less points. Damn.

Also scored 75 or more in 14 of our 31 games.

 

[2bearcatdad]

i'll say 22-10 for the year. 12-6 in conference. Cronin's teams never seem to play great on the road.

vs Bellarmine Win
vs Brown Win
vs Albany Win
vs Rhode Island Loss
Duke/Penn St Penn St/Win
vs Samford Win
vs Lipscomb Win
at Iowa State Loss
vs Bowling Green Win
at Butler Loss
vs Texas Southern Win
vs Fairleigh Dickinson Win
vs Marshall Win
at Temple Loss
vs Tulane Win
at Houston Loss
vs SMU Win
at ECU Win
vs Temple Win
at Tulane Win
vs Xavier Loss
vs USF Win
at Tulsa Win
vs Uconn Loss
vs UCF Win
at SMU Loss
at USF Win
vs Tulsa Win
vs Memphis Loss
at UCF Win
vs Houston Win
at Uconn Loss

Another.

 

[2bearcatdad]

Ha your entitled to your prediction but we did beat Uconn, VCU, George Washington and Nebraska away from home.

mine would look something like this:

vs Bellarmine Win
vs Brown Win
vs Albany Win
vs Rhode Island Win
Duke Loss
vs Samford Win
vs Lipscomb Win
at Iowa State Loss
vs Bowling Green Win
at Butler Win
vs Texas Southern Win
vs Fairleigh Dickinson Win
vs Marshall Win
at Temple Win
vs Tulane Win
at Houston Loss
vs SMU Win
at ECU Win
vs Temple Win
at Tulane Win
vs Xavier Win
vs USF Win
at Tulsa Win
vs Uconn Win
vs UCF Win
at SMU Loss
at USF Win
vs Tulsa Win
vs Memphis Win
at UCF Win
vs Houston Win
at Uconn Loss

26-5 (if I counted the wins right)

Another.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

I was looking through some preseason posts. A lot of pessimism mixed with guarded optimism.

I think justinhub was the closest prediction preseason.

They start at page 111 if you want to peruse.

I'll highlight a few others. Nothing meant by these - just interesting to go back and look at the predictions, concerns, etc.

We finished better than I believe anyone predicted.

I just wouldn't allow myself to be let down again. I think I predicted 27-4 last year and we went 22-9. So technically I was exactly right on our records the last 2 years, or something...lol.

 

[ervins84]

I'd be shocked if we went 26-5. The Temple game will tell a lot though.

I was right there with you. Being wrong is fun isn't it?

 

[2bearcatdad]

I just wouldn't allow myself to be let down again. I think I predicted 27-4 last year and we went 22-9. So technically I was exactly right on our records the last 2 years, or something...lol.

Don't feel bad. This is a fan board and I don't believe anyone predicted only 4 losses.

Great season so far.

Only bummer is no AAC season championship, but there's no shame in 16-2. Who knew SMU would be this good?

 

[2bearcatdad]

Few random notes now that the regular season is over:

- 27-4 overall
- 18-0 at home
- 16-2 in AAC
- 7-2 on the road in AAC
- 15 game winning streak between Butler and SMU
- #20 Overall, #43 AdjO, #7 AdjD on KenPom
- Averaged 74.7 PPG and allowed 60.2 PPG

Top 50 offense and top 10 defense.

Good stuff.

 

[justinhub2003]

I was looking through some preseason posts. A lot of pessimism mixed with guarded optimism.

I think justinhub was the closest prediction preseason.

They start at page 111 if you want to peruse.

I'll highlight a few others. Nothing meant by these - just interesting to go back and look at the predictions, concerns, etc.

We finished better than I believe anyone predicted.

Ha i was pretty close in terms of predicted W-L but I was way off when it came to predicting the actual wins and losses. However I would have never predicted UCONN was so bad.

 

[Stats&Info]

Regular Season Summary Statistics:

 

[Stats&Info]

Regular Season Player Stats:

 

[GarradJ21]

My prediction was 26-5 in the beginning of the year. If that would have happened I would have been thrilled. The fact that we ended better than that is absolutely amazing. What a great year.

Outside of being undefeated and beating every team by 30, this season would have been perfect if we would have beat R.I. and then had the chance to play Duke. The loss that sucked the worst was UCF of course. I think it will benefit us in the long run though. That had to be an eye opener. I cant wait for these next two weekends.

 

[waterhead]

Undefeated at home and a missed dunk from potentially tying SMU for the conference championship (with a single conference loss) is a pretty damn good year! Obviously we would all like to get back the RI game and the UCF game but hopefully we learned a little from each.

Hopefully we can win the conference tourney and crack the top 4 seeds but we need to make the finals. I think we are one of the best 16 teams in the country the way Cumberland has been playing lately...especially on the road against UConn and UCF. He's scoring without the 3 ball...and that will be huge for us. He's creating for himself but making other players better as well.

Our D can absolutely lock down and when we can limit turnovers to single digits we will maximize the amount of possessions we can get as well as reduce the opponents extra possessions. Our turnovers and offensive rebounds will be a big key with our defense and because we have multiple options to score any given night.

I hope we get some decent matchups in the dance because I think we can go second week and beyond. Great regular season Bearcats...I'm proud!!

 

[waterhead]

Top 50 offense and top 10 defense.

Good stuff.

We are #42 on Kenpom right now on offense and #7 on D. After watching us slide for a while it's nice to move up a little. I keep remembering a post someone made earlier that in the last decade or two no national champs had been rated lower than the following numbers...

Rated #22 or higher in both offense and defense (SMU is #13 and #24)

Rated #39 or higher in one category and top 10 in the other (UC #42 and #7)

I am not expecting a NC but it goes to show what type of team we have and how close we are getting to putting together a well rounded offensive and defensive team. This is the type of team that can perform in March.

 

[waterhead]

As it stands now our toughest games according to KenPom would be...

Xavier would be the only home game I would be really concerned about.

We play 2 top 50 teams on the road. SMU and Houston.

3 more against top 100 on the road. UConn, temple, UCF.

I am hoping to beat X. Maybe split the top 50 road games. Then give us one more road loss. I could see a 27-4 scenario but I'm hoping it doesn't get worse than 26-5. As of now we should be favored in all remaining games. At some point we may not be clicking or we could run into a hot shooting team.

I am not sure if I had any preseason predictions but this was my stab I think around the Marshall game when we had 2 losses. I later adjusted the over under after many fans thought it was too optimistic. Either way the team hit the high water mark for me...and we ended with SMU being favored on the road when we played them. The team took care of every game "they should have" after that point except the UCF game.

Job well done!

 

[jacobkdoyle]

We are #42 on Kenpom right now on offense and #7 on D. After watching us slide for a while it's nice to move up a little. I keep remembering a post someone made earlier that in the last decade or two no national champs had been rated lower than the following numbers...

Rated #22 or higher in both offense and defense (SMU is #13 and #24)

Rated #39 or higher in one category and top 10 in the other (UC #42 and #7)

I am not expecting a NC but it goes to show what type of team we have and how close we are getting to putting together a well rounded offensive and defensive team. This is the type of team that can perform in March.

The stat I had heard was that KenPom started in 2002 and every NC has been Top 40 in AdjO and AdjD.

 

[waterhead]

The stat I had heard was that KenPom started in 2002 and every NC has been Top 40 in AdjO and AdjD.

I think you are correct about the 2002 thing. And yes, both had to be in the top 40 for sure. But from what I recall there were two categories.

Both stats (offense and defense) ranked #22 or higher. But if one of them was ranked #23-#39 the other had to be top 10. I could be wrong...but that is what I remember. Maybe we could get some clarification from the original poster?

Either way, it would be nice to see our adjusted offense climb into the top 39 because I think we can maintain the top 10 D.

Not that this bit of trivia is fool proof...lol!