So here's the quirky thing about Cincinnati ... Metrics have the Bearcats in line with their spot on the Seed List today. UC is 9-2 vs. Quadrants 1 and 2, and 5-1 in true road games. Yet, Bearcats' only "win vs. field" is SMU (Last 4 In)
while Quadrants matter, all teams within a certain grouping are not the same. How Committee discerns that will be interesting
I’ll be curious to see how the Committee views their profile when they release their initial rankings in mid-February.
yeah this is the part that is concerning to me. thank goodness they went to quadrants and hopefully they just blindly follow the win totals.
because if the system was still like last year, we'd be sitting at 0-1 vs the top 25 and 3-2 vs the top 50. the team across town is 2-1 vs top 25 and 6-3 vs top 50.
but with the quadrants we are 9-2 vs a and b and they are 9-3. that looks so much better for us.
If we go 5-3 in column 1 but our average win was rpi #50 compared to another team who has an average rpi of #25...we will not get the same treatment...nor should we.
but you still can't look at it like that. average win of 50 without home/road/neutral is what they wanted to do away with i think.
we project to have a very good road record vs quadrant one. that can only be a good thing. Of all our projected group 1 wins, only 1 is at home. That is pretty in some pretty good work away from home which has always meant something to the committee.
is beating 29 at home better than beating 64 on the road? it looks better for average rpi win. but according to how they divided up the quadrants both are back end of group 1 wins. to then use average rpi win defeats the entire quadrant purpose i think.
Agreed. UConn and UCF are near the 75 cutoff. Memphis and Tulane are near the 135 cutoff. Outside of WSU, Houston and SMU winning, I think the next priority is those 4 teams staying on the right side of the cutoffs.We need WSU to win win win! We need Houston and SMU to win win win. We need the rest of the teams to stay in their quadrants or to get into one.
Agreed. UConn and UCF are near the 75 cutoff. Memphis and Tulane are near the 135 cutoff. Outside of WSU, Houston and SMU winning, I think the next priority is those 4 teams staying on the right side of the cutoffs.
UConn can finish top 75 by going 6-4. That could include these wins: @UCF, USF, Tulsa, @ECU, Memphis, Temple.
UCF can finish top 75 by going 5-5. That could include these wins: @Memphis, USF, @Tulsa, @Temple, Tulane.
It would be a miracle for both to be in Group 1, but it's not impossible. Obviously the odds go up if one of them happens to knock off one of the top four. Or they could both finish outside the top 75.
I would love a 2 or a 3. We can probably only lose 2 more games total for a 3. Winning the conference tournament would go a long way in getting a good seed. Not really worried about many teams this year. Think we can beat anyone. Trey young is kind of scary.
Now that NFL is finally over, lots of attention is going to turn to college hoops. We gotta show the nation why we belong. Isn't the committee Top 16 coming out soon? It's gonna be nice to have our name up there.
Next Sunday at noon i believe. Handle business tomorrow and we will see how much respect/disrespect we get.
I would love a 2 or a 3. We can probably only lose 2 more games total for a 3. Winning the conference tournament would go a long way in getting a good seed. Not really worried about many teams this year. Think we can beat anyone. Trey young is kind of scary.
Also saw Lunardi tweeted that is MSU loses we could be moving into the 2 seed spot. Even to be there in a prediction is great.
Every time I start thinking about our seeding possibilities I start writing and then I remember we probably have our 4 toughest conference games remaining yet and two senior night away games. Then I erase what I was writing.
The good thing is we have a team right now who has been playing off campus for the first time and they are doing a great job of holding that home win streak. For a program that has struggled outside of our true home arena in recent years...I think that is a big deal. We have played a lot of teams this year who have lost right before our game with them...making them very hungry. We have been down double digits and battled back and we have been pushed to the wire on the road and pulled it out. There are only a few teams that have Played UCF with Fall and Taylor both in the game. We are a team doing all of this with one of our most talented players and best scorers only averaging 20 minutes or so.
For every time I think we might be a bit overrated I start to think about why we might be underrated. This team has responded to a two game losing streak in Dec. Washington is really starting to get it and playing more within himself. We have a wild card on the bench who can help in March. We are playing like the 2nd best D in the Kenpom era. We have a couple of no nonsense veterans who we can give the ball and not worry about them getting caught up in the moment.
I could go on and on...but the positives are stacking up. I am always a cautiously optimistic fan. It only gets tougher from here...but these guys have been displaying the toughness I want to see! After that FLA game I would not have expected to run off 14 straight. Things are very good right now!