yikes.
so if this year's team makes an elite 8 run, how long of a pass does that buy our program?
we seem to be putting a ton of stock into one-off runs in determining the status of the program and the hands it's in.
5 year totals:
vcu: 5 straight ncaa appearances; 3 round of 32; 1 each 16, 8 and 4; hasn't been past the round of 32 since 2011; generally competed for conference titles
butler: 3 of 5 ncaa appearances; 3 round of 32; 1 each sweet 16, 8, 4 and 2; also a runner-up run in 2010; hasn't been past the round of 32 since 2011; tough conference makes title contention tougher but haven't really contended (big east only)
xavier: 4 of 5, 2 round of 32, 2 sweet 16 (both times getting a fluke shitty seeded team in the round of 32 to advance); tough conference and haven't competed for a title (big east only)
san diego state: 5 straight, 4 of 5 round of 32, 2 sweet 16s; generally competed for conference titles
gonzaga: 5 straight; 5 round of 32; 1 sweet 16; generally competed for conference titles (actually dominated utter garbage)
and cincinnati: 5 straight; 3 round of 32; 1 sweet 16; generally competed for conference titles (american only)
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i think there's a tendency to get down on ourselves because of some recent disappointments, but if that's the company you guys are trying to keep, i think we're a lot closer than some folks may realize.
and, like i said, i think there's a tendency to put way too much stock into a one-year run. they're generally fluky and heavily influenced by luck.
vcu's run could easily have ended in the sweet 16 with one different bounce in a 1 point overtime win.
butler barely got out of the round of 32 in 2010 and almost lost in both the round of 64 and round of 32 in 2011.
if you want to measure a program's success by the presence or absence of occasional runs like that, that's fine with me i suppose. i'd think you'd need to be prepared to be satisfied for the long haul after a single uc run, though.