Games of Importance for UC's Resume

[waterhead]

Who does UC want tonight in the UCF vs WSU game? I'd assume a win for WSU so that if/when we beat them they are higher ranked?

No doubt at all here IMO. UCF is going to fall without Fall. pun intended (even if corny). I don't see much hope for them.

We want WSU highly ranked

 

[waterhead]

Bracketmatrix is crowdsourced from people with all kinds of methodologies. Most of them don't list any reasoning whatsoever, so we have no idea what they're really doing. In general it's a decent approximation.

I agree. Most of them are going off other predictions probably. We are still likely getting down to the same few popular metrics and polls etc. Past committee selections are going to weigh in as well. That last part is what I am interested in.

 

[sedziobs]

Thursday Jan 25th 2018

SMU @ UConn
7pm CBS Sports
SMU at RPI 53. 73% chance to win.

UCF @ Wichita St
9pm ESPN2
Wichita at 29, needs to stay top 30. UCF at 67, probably no chance of staying top 75 without Tacko. 84% chance to win.

USF @ Tulane
9pm ESPNU
Tulane at 89, with an outside chance at top 75. 94% chance to win.

Cal @ UCLA
10:30pm FS1
UCLA at 64, needs to get back on track and stay top 75. 93% chance to win.

 

[sedziobs]

SMU loses and falls to 61. UConn moves up to 73.
Wichita St wins and improves a bit to 26.
Tulane inexplicably loses at home to USF, falls all the way to 128. Might not even be a Group 2 game for us.
UCLA wins, stays at 64.

 

[sedziobs]

Friday Jan 26th 2018

Buffalo @ Ohio
6:30pm CBS Sports
Buffalo at RPI 27. 74% chance to win.

 

[sedziobs]

Buffalo wins, stays at 27.

 

[sedziobs]

Saturday Jan 27th 2018

Baylor @ Florida
12:00pm ESPN
Florida at RPI 38. 68% chance to win.

Wyoming @ San Jose St
5pm
Wyoming at RPI 56. 84% chance to win.

Missouri @ Mississippi St
8:30pm SEC Network
Miss St at RPI 80. 51% chance to win.

Stanford @ UCLA
10:30pm PAC12 Network
UCLA at RPI 65. 73% chance to win.

 

[sedziobs]

Florida wins and moves up a bit to 36.
Wyoming needs overtime to beat 2-17 San Jose St, falls to 64.
Mississippi State wins to improve to 70, back into Group 2.
UCLA wins, steady at 66.

 

[sedziobs]

Sunday Jan 28th 2018

East Carolina @ SMU
2pm CBS Sports
SMU at RPI 60. 98% chance to win.

South Florida @ Houston
3pm ESPN3
Houston at RPI 48. 98% chance to win.

Tulsa @ Wichita St
6pm CBS Sports
Wichita at RPI 23. 90% chance to win.

UConn @ Temple
8pm ESPN2
UConn at RPI 74 (forecast 87). Temple at RPI 46 (forecast 65). Temple has a 73% chance to win.

 

[jacobkdoyle]

Sunday Jan 28th 2018

East Carolina @ SMU
2pm CBS Sports
SMU at RPI 60. 98% chance to win.

South Florida @ Houston
3pm ESPN3
Houston at RPI 48. 98% chance to win.

Tulsa @ Wichita St
6pm CBS Sports
Wichita at RPI 23. 90% chance to win.

UConn @ Temple
8pm ESPN2
UConn at RPI 74 (forecast 87). Temple at RPI 46 (forecast 65). Temple has a 73% chance to win.

I bet that UConn/Temple game will be played on a loop in hell today.

 

[sedziobs]

SMU wins, steady at 61.
Houston wins, steady at 49.
Wichita St wins, steady at 24.
Temple wins and improves to 44, UConn drops to 80.

 

[waterhead]

SMU wins, steady at 61.
Houston wins, steady at 49.
Wichita St wins, steady at 24.
Temple wins and improves to 44, UConn drops to 80.

I think that's the kind of day we need to see a little bit more of. We need the right teams winning. The way things are going with some other top teams in other conferences we might even be able to get a 3 seed with 4 losses. Previously I thought that would be 4 seed material. It keeps shifting back and forth...but right now it has shifted in the right direction. We want the bottom teams vulturing in other conferences...not ours.

 

[TheShoeFits]

I think that's the kind of day we need to see a little bit more of. We need the right teams winning. The way things are going with some other top teams in other conferences we might even be able to get a 3 seed with 4 losses. Previously I thought that would be 4 seed material. It keeps shifting back and forth...but right now it has shifted in the right direction. We want the bottom teams vulturing in other conferences...not ours.

Yes. I've found myself rooting against teams with similar resumes and teams UC will be fighting for a seed line.

Oklahoma, West Virginia, Michigan St., Clemson, Arizona, Texas Tech...just to name a few.

 

[sedziobs]

No important games today, time instead for a resume update. We picked up a couple of Group 2 wins in the last week. We are now 4-2 in Group 1, 5-0 in Group 2, and zero bad losses.

According to rpiforecast, Miss St is expected to drop out of Group 2 by the end of the season, but all of the rest are expected to remain in their respective groups. However, I have my doubts that UCF will be able to stay in the top 75 after losing Tacko. But UConn may be able to move up if they win at UCF this week. Still lots of basketball left.

Projected remaining Group 1 games: @SMU, @Houston, Wichita St, @Wichita St
Projected remaining Group 2 games: Houston, @UConn, UCF, @Tulane

 

[sedziobs]

Tuesday Jan 30th 2018

Florida @ Georgia
7pm SEC Network
Florida at RPI 38. 56% chance to win.

Buffalo @ Kent St
7pm ESPN3
Buffalo at RPI 26. 75% chance to win.

The President @ Congress
9pm every channel
110% chance of clapping. That I can tell you.

 

[waterhead]

Tuesday Jan 30th 2018

Florida @ Georgia
7pm SEC Network
Florida at RPI 38. 56% chance to win.

Buffalo @ Kent St
7pm ESPN3
Buffalo at RPI 26. 75% chance to win.

The President @ Congress
9pm every channel
110% chance of clapping. That I can tell you.

LOL! We are a 3 seed...believe me. Power 6 conferences...fake news. The NCAA committee? Filibuster!

 

[sedziobs]

Buffalo blows a 13 point halftime lead and drops their first MAC game. RPI only drops to 32.
Florida loses, but stays steady at 37.

 

[sedziobs]

Wednesday Jan 31st 2018

Tulane @ East Carolina
6:30pm ESPNews
Tulane at RPI 128, just inside 135 cutoff. 77% chance to win.

Mississippi St @ South Carolina
8:30pm SEC Network
Miss St at RPI 69. Need to go 6-4 to finish top 75, which means they need to win at least one road game. 37% chance to win this one.

Memphis @ South Florida
8:30pm ESPNews
Memphis at RPI 114. 71% chance to win.

Wyoming @ Colorado St
9pm
Wyoming at RPI 61. Need to go 8-2 for top 50, 4-6 for top 100. 62% chance to win.

UConn @ UCF
9pm CBS Sports
UConn at RPI 80, UCF at 68. Hoping at least one of them can finish top 75. UCF has a 75% chance to win.

 

[waterhead]

Wednesday Jan 31st 2018

Tulane @ East Carolina
6:30pm ESPNews
Tulane at RPI 128, just inside 135 cutoff. 77% chance to win.

Mississippi St @ South Carolina
8:30pm SEC Network
Miss St at RPI 69. Need to go 6-4 to finish top 75, which means they need to win at least one road game. 37% chance to win this one.

Memphis @ South Florida
8:30pm ESPNews
Memphis at RPI 114. 71% chance to win.

Wyoming @ Colorado St
9pm
Wyoming at RPI 61. Need to go 8-2 for top 50, 4-6 for top 100. 62% chance to win.

UConn @ UCF
9pm CBS Sports
UConn at RPI 80, UCF at 68. Hoping at least one of them can finish top 75. UCF has a 75% chance to win.

This is pretty easy to root for. The last game is a little tougher but I have higher hopes for Uconn right now than I do for UCF. Getting one of them into the right column would be great.

 

[Jon Rycek]

I'm in Ft Collins right now, think I'm gonna try to get to the Wyoming game. Give me a little extra support lol. Less than 20 for a good seat,I'm in lol.