NCAA Tournament

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How far will UC make it in the NCAA Tournament?

  • Lose in the 1st round

    Votes: 7 12.1%
  • 2nd round

    Votes: 11 19.0%
  • Sweet 16

    Votes: 20 34.5%
  • Elite 8

    Votes: 18 31.0%
  • Final 4

    Votes: 1 1.7%
  • National Championship Game

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • National Champions

    Votes: 1 1.7%

  • Total voters
    58
Also we are healthy. That is so good. We weren't healthy last year. My biggest fear all year was injuries.

Wake Forrest and UCLA are not physical teams. Could help with Kyle Washington.
 
I'm not a fan of the pod system. That might be my main issue with the tournament. Why are we in the South region and playing in Sacramento? Why is that even an option? Why is the same city (I believe Milwaukee) hosting multiple 4 and 5 seeds from different regions? Am I just old-fashioned? The Midwest should have 2 Midwest cities hosting half the bracket each for the 1st and 2nd round, then a different Midwest city does the next weekend, and so on. Is that such a weird thing to expect? If we're in the South region, we should be in either Orlando, or South Carolina, along with the rest of our bracket for our first 2 games.

I'm tired of seeing KU get whatever they want every year. They could be in any region, but they'll still play within a couple hours from home no matter what. And maybe they would've randomly ended up in the Midwest, but they'll be playing in Kansas City to go to the Final 4. As if they need any additional help, they basically be playing in front of a home crowd in the NCAA Tournament.

I'm for a straight S-Curve with regions established beforehand (and changing every year). So if the 2nd #1 seed was tabbed for the West region this year, then KU is heading to Sacramento. And so on. Is that really so unfair?
 
I'm not a fan of the pod system. That might be my main issue with the tournament. Why are we in the South region and playing in Sacramento? Why is that even an option? Why is the same city (I believe Milwaukee) hosting multiple 4 and 5 seeds from different regions? Am I just old-fashioned? The Midwest should have 2 Midwest cities hosting half the bracket each for the 1st and 2nd round, then a different Midwest city does the next weekend, and so on. Is that such a weird thing to expect? If we're in the South region, we should be in either Orlando, or South Carolina, along with the rest of our bracket for our first 2 games.

I'm tired of seeing KU get whatever they want every year. They could be in any region, but they'll still play within a couple hours from home no matter what. And maybe they would've randomly ended up in the Midwest, but they'll be playing in Kansas City to go to the Final 4. As if they need any additional help, they basically be playing in front of a home crowd in the NCAA Tournament.

I'm for a straight S-Curve with regions established beforehand (and changing every year). So if the 2nd #1 seed was tabbed for the West region this year, then KU is heading to Sacramento. And so on. Is that really so unfair?
jake was listening to mad dog sports and they did a interview with the head of the committee. Your right they do not use S cures. If they did Ky would be in the same region as Gonzaga by virtue of Gonzaga being the 4th number 1 seed and KY being the first 2 seed.
 
ESPN Stats & Info‏Verified account @ESPNStatsInfo

ESPN Stats & Info Retweeted John Panos

Cincinnati has a 70-71% chance to beat KSU/Wake, and a 41% chance to beat UCLA. Bearcats just 5 spots below UCLA in BPI #AllstateStatChat


Not the worst draw in the world. Location sucks, but you have to play the games out. 5 three seeds have lost in the first round the past 4 seasons. 3 six seeds fell last season in the 1st round. If we truly have a good team, one that defends like we think and can score the ball with consistency, then it should be a coin flip to make the sweet sixteen. I'll take that as a fan.
 
jake was listening to mad dog sports and they did a interview with the head of the committee. Your right they do not use S cures. If they did Ky would be in the same region as Gonzaga by virtue of Gonzaga being the 4th number 1 seed and KY being the first 2 seed.

They basically just do whatever they want and don't have to answer to anyone. And if you call them on it they'll just scream "NO NO NO!" in a louder voice. And they know no one is going to fight for the non-blue bloods, so as long as they're happy it's all good. I can't stand Calipari, but he was also calling out the committee and begging for some transparency. Jay Bilas was was also tweeting that the entire committee needs to be "scrubbed". So maybe there is some momentum picking up and people are finally starting to step back and realize how stupid this whole process has become. College basketball followers aren't as stupid as the committee wishes we all were.
 
ESPN Stats & Info‏Verified account @ESPNStatsInfo

ESPN Stats & Info Retweeted John Panos

Cincinnati has a 70-71% chance to beat KSU/Wake, and a 41% chance to beat UCLA. Bearcats just 5 spots below UCLA in BPI #AllstateStatChat


Not the worst draw in the world. Location sucks, but you have to play the games out. 5 three seeds have lost in the first round the past 4 seasons. 3 six seeds fell last season in the 1st round. If we truly have a good team, one that defends like we think and can score the ball with consistency, then it should be a coin flip to make the sweet sixteen. I'll take that as a fan.

Kevin Garnett's take on our draw
 
ESPN Stats & Info‏Verified account @ESPNStatsInfo

ESPN Stats & Info Retweeted John Panos

Cincinnati has a 70-71% chance to beat KSU/Wake, and a 41% chance to beat UCLA. Bearcats just 5 spots below UCLA in BPI #AllstateStatChat


Not the worst draw in the world. Location sucks, but you have to play the games out. 5 three seeds have lost in the first round the past 4 seasons. 3 six seeds fell last season in the 1st round. If we truly have a good team, one that defends like we think and can score the ball with consistency, then it should be a coin flip to make the sweet sixteen. I'll take that as a fan.

So overall a 29-30% chance to make it to the sweet 16. Crazier things have certainly happened.
 
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Duke has a lower chance to win than Wichita st? I find that hard to believe especially since Wichita would likely have to beat UK, UCLA, and UNC to just make the F4.
Draw doesn't significantly impact title odds as much as it does for making the SW16 and E8.
For instance, Duke has a much better chance of getting to the SW16 with that draw, but once they have to play 6 games their overall rating is more important and kenpom has Wichita higher than Duke.

Now it's not gospel obviously, and the betting markets do not reflect this whatsoever, so you're right to take it with a grain of salt.
 
Random question...does anyone know what time the Bearcats will play on Sunday if they win on Friday? I saw that the Friday game is set for 7:27pm.
 
So some dude on Reddit put together a master binder of stats, team sheets, data, past trends etc that everyone who posts here should check out

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2inoL6EQLZPS29FTHdtVm5ZSEk/view

Solid info! Just for the record, under the S-curve stat, he accidentally marked SMU as 12 for their actual when it should be 21, thus making their difference +9 - showing them to be way under seeded. <Edit - this is corrected on the right side under "Most Under Seeded Teams," which also has both KState and Wake Forest on that list.)

Also, according to the S-curve, KState (+7) & Wake Forest (+14) are both seriously under seeded. I guess that means we've got a battle ahead of us for round one!
 
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So some dude on Reddit put together a master binder of stats, team sheets, data, past trends etc that everyone who posts here should check out

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B2inoL6EQLZPS29FTHdtVm5ZSEk/view



This is pretty awesome.


Browsing through; 2 things stood out pretty quickly. Us and FSU have the biggest road game Ppg difference.

But where we differ. Our defense travels better then any other team besides Kent state, we hold our opponents 3.7 points less than we do at home. Wake forest allows 8 more ppg on the road.

Though non of that means anything bc the tourney is not a road game
 
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