Predict the Seed and the Region

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bearcat jeff said:
Guys I'm sorry but I think UC will be the last 4 seed. I think they will be a 4 seed and be shipped West or South. They have stumbled to close the season. Two consecutive loses to UConn looks bad. I want Villanova (who I think will be a 2 now) or Wichita St. I think the Shockers are going to get upset in the second round. At some point the law of averages catches up to you.
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You could be right, Cincinnati has dropped down to #20 in the RPI with several teams around them all winning (New Mexico, Louisville, UConn, Michigan State, VCU, UCLA, etc). I think there could be a chance they end up with a 5...
 
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Bearcat_NTS said:
You could be right, Cincinnati has dropped down to #20 in the RPI with several teams around them all winning (New Mexico, Louisville, UConn, Michigan State, VCU, UCLA, etc). I think there could be a chance they end up with a 5...
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Would not shock me.
 
Bearcat_NTS said:
You could be right, Cincinnati has dropped down to #20 in the RPI with several teams around them all winning (New Mexico, Louisville, UConn, Michigan State, VCU, UCLA, etc). I think there could be a chance they end up with a 5...
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UCLA could definitely pass us with that win. Arizona looked awful in the final minute of that game. New Mexico had a big win, but I'm not worried about them jumping ahead. The Mountain West is not getting 2 of the top 16 spots. Even their fans are hoping for a 5 and expecting a 6.
 
bearcatz1 said:
If Virginia wins tommorow they will be a #1
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Not if Michigan beats Michigan State. They have 10 top 50 wins compared to only 4 for Virginia, and they were the outright winners of a much better league.

Beilein would get my vote for national coach of the year.
 
Lunardi still has UL listed as a 4 seed. I get their SOS isn't great, but if I'm the 1 seed in their region I would be furious.

He has UC as a 4 in the East (playing in Spokane!) vs Delaware. Oklahoma the 5 and Michigan the 1.

I feel UC's body of work deserves a 4 especially compared to this field, but a 5 wouldn't shock me. Regardless of the number, the matchup is more important, as many have previously stated.
 
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#BearcatNation said:
Why does Jerry Palm still have us as a 3? What's he seeing that we aren't?
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We have a very nice resume. With wins against pitt, nebraska,memphis(2), uconn, at Louisville, and SMU.... with no bad losses, 5 of the 6 losses are to teams currently ranked the other is xu. I can see why he has us as a 3. Not saying we will get a three but theres a case that could be made for it
 
Lunardi has UC as the 5 in the West against UCLA as the 4. On paper, I like that matchup because they aren't an elite defensive team. I am concerned about being a 5 because of the annual 5/12 upsets. He's got us against Harvard now.
 
Bearcat_NTS said:
Lunardi has UC as the 5 in the West against UCLA as the 4. On paper, I like that matchup because they aren't an elite defensive team. I am concerned about being a 5 because of the annual 5/12 upsets. He's got us against Harvard now.
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It's a toss up with UCLA. They arguably have better wins, but they also have a couple bad losses and they didn't even beat a top 100 team in the non-conference. It'll be interesting to see how much weight is placed on finishing tied for 1st with the almighty Louisville Cardinals.

I don't love the matchup either. They shoot the ball as well as anyone and they are a really good passing team. They have plenty of size and I don't like the thought of 6'9" Kyle Anderson guarding SK. We aren't likely to find a great matchup in the 4/5 game anyway. I just hope no one gives us a chance. That's when we play our best.
 
I'm hoping for a 4 seed in Midwest. Play OSU or oklahoma in second round. Ucla doesn't scare me too much. If SK doesn't do his usual fire away 3 balls at the beginning of the game, he could take Anderson off the dribble a draw early fouls. SK (despite the missed layup Friday) really finishes well at the basket and uses his body well to ward off taller defenders at the hoop.
Any thoughts on my thoughts about a possible SK/Anderson matchup? I love the knowledge on this board, I've learned a ton just from following you all on here this season. Thanks for that!
Palm has us as a 3 in the east which looks great if nova is the 1 seed there.
 
Kyle Anderson is slow. He's a unique talent, but he's no LeBron James or Paul George in the athleticism department. I'm not too worried about him defensively.
 
Robert said:
Kyle Anderson is slow. He's a unique talent, but he's no LeBron James or Paul George in the athleticism department. I'm not too worried about him defensively.
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SK could definitely hurt Anderson and Adams off the dribble and in the pick-and-roll, but 74% of his shot attempts are jump shots. He couldn't afford to settle against them. We'd also have to protect the ball against those two. They combine for 4.5 steals per game. That's right there with the starting backcourts of Louisville and OSU.
 
At least we have a pretty good chance of not having Louisville in our region.

I'm rooting for the 4 or 5 seed in the Midwest with Wichita being the 1. I know they are good, but I'd still rather have them than fla or arz.
 
ervins84 said:
At least we have a pretty good chance of not having Louisville in our region.

I'm rooting for the 4 or 5 seed in the Midwest with Wichita being the 1. I know they are good, but I'd still rather have them than fla or arz.
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4 seeds advance to the second round 79% of the time and 5 seeds advance 67% of the time (same probability for a 6 seed). If Cincinnati was to get a 5, I would probably lean towards them being a 5/12 casualty...
 
Bearcat_NTS said:
4 seeds advance to the second round 79% of the time and 5 seeds advance 67% of the time (same probability for a 6 seed). If Cincinnati was to get a 5, I would probably lean towards them being a 5/12 casualty...
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One thing that would suck about being a 5 is that 12-seeds are generally high(ish)-major programs that simply under-performed this season, but have the potential to beat great teams. They're earning their spot in the tourney without winning their league. Whereas a 4 faces a 13, and generally 13s are scrappy mid/low-majors that simply won their league. They are usually a lot more beatable than the high-major teams that were just having a bad year, so those percentages above make sense. Don't want to look past round 1 regardless.
 
Bearcat_NTS said:
4 seeds advance to the second round 79% of the time and 5 seeds advance 67% of the time (same probability for a 6 seed). If Cincinnati was to get a 5, I would probably lean towards them being a 5/12 casualty...
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I know a higher seed is obv better in most cases ( except for example, teams should want to be an 11 or 12 vs an 8/9).

I mostly just want to be in the Midwest bc if they do make it to the sweet 16/Elite 8 rounds they will be playing in Indy and I'll get to go.
 

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