Yeah throwing percentages on what seed we'll get seems silly to me. I get it. It's what fans do. Just seems random and feels like a guess that's not worth defending. Like I think there a 22% chance we're a 4. Who's going to tell me I'm wrong?
Calm down guys. You are being a little dramatic. I wasn't being scientific. I just PERSONALLY feel pretty confident we have a very likely chance of being a 5 seed.
You guys can be hopeful for whatever you want. But nothing I see personally see says were a 4 seed, a few things have to really fall for us to get it.
I just see a lot of teams ahead of us with quality wins.
Things that helped: Virginia losing, Butler losing,
Things that hurt: FSU advancing, Notre Dame Advancing,
I think we are competing with Butler, FSU, ND, Purdue, SMU, West Virginia
1: Zags, nova, kansas, Pac 12 winner
2. UK, UNC, Pac 12 Championship loser, Louisville
3. the 3rd pac 12 team, Baylor, Florida, Duke
4. FSU, Purdue, West Virginia,
This is around where I think it stands as of now. If ND beats FSU, I think they both get 4 seeds. and it fills the spot, then it depends on what on what Purdue does.
For us to get a 4 seed, we need Purdue to lose, ND to lose and then us beat SMU. And it has to be SMU who we beat not anyone else. I also feel that SMU's ceiling is a 5 seed. Even if they beat us. Even worse if they win the AAC and don't have to beat us.
Just my thoughts and predictions.
I'd rather be a top 5 seed that doesn't play on the west coast than to be the worst 4 seed on the west coast.