Computer Numbers/Bracketology Thread

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I don't think the AAC tourney will help any team (UC, Temple, Tulsa)prove to the committee they are worthy on getting in. Which makes these last two games so huge. Meaning, say we split these last two games and win 2 games in the conference tourney...I think we would be left out. Obviously winning both final games makes all doubt go away. Remember at the beginning of Feb we had a great RPI and good tourney resume? Those bad losses and the bottom feeders of this conference are just killing us.
 
Most recent (3/3) bubble watch write up

Cincinnati [20-9 (11-5), RPI: 50, SOS: 72] The Bearcats' win Saturday was of a piece with the previous week's work: Three games against bad teams (Houston, UCF, Tulane), three wins, no resume improvement, no real damage. Wednesday's game at Tulsa is a change of pace in this regard, and a chance to knock off a bubble competitor on its own floor in March. Speaking of bubble competitors, the Bearcats have more top-50 wins than most, five in total, including two over SMU. That should help in any committee argument wherein at least one of the members cares less about bad losses (Cincinnati has two, at ECU and vs. Tulane) than about a show of strength against potential tournament teams. A top-35 nonconference schedule also helps a lot. But Cincinnati's top-50 wins aren't so good as to lift them off the bubble entirely, or even help them avoid Dayton, which is where they began the Bubble Watch at the beginning of February. That makes this week's games -- especially the Tulsa trip -- as big as any this season.

http://espn.go.com/ncb/bubblewatch
 
This red arrow gives me joy.
 

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Lunardi tweeted this morning that the Bearcats are a lock with 6 RPI top 50 wins.

Keep rooting on NC State! Also, we need Temple to not lose to ECU, so they stay a top 50 win.

It'd be interesting if we win out, making that 8 in a row and AAC tourney champs. Getting WAY ahead of myself, but that could make the talk of bubble a distant memory.
 
kskenyon4 said:
Lunardi tweeted this morning that the Bearcats are a lock with 6 RPI top 50 wins.

Keep rooting on NC State! Also, we need Temple to not lose to ECU, so they stay a top 50 win.

It'd be interesting if we win out, making that 8 in a row and AAC tourney champs. Getting WAY ahead of myself, but that could make the talk of bubble a distant memory.
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Care to guess what our seeding ceiling would be? I think the absolute best (if we do win out) would probably be a 7 seed.
 
jbreeds1 said:
Care to guess what our seeding ceiling would be? I think the absolute best (if we do win out) would probably be a 7 seed.
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Well, our record would be 25-9. We would seemingly have 8 top 50 wins. I think a 6 would be possible, a 7 likely.
 
kskenyon4 said:
Well, our record would be 25-9. We would seemingly have 8 top 50 wins. I think a 6 would be possible, a 7 likely.
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The highest seeded team from this conference, who isn't even in the conference anymore, was a 4 seed. That number will not be surpassed this season either. smh. I hate this league.
 
jbreeds1 said:
The highest seeded team from this conference, who isn't even in the conference anymore, was a 4 seed. That number will not be surpassed this season either. smh. I hate this league.
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Mick talked it this week, the AAC and the respective universities need to invest in the bottom 3-4 teams. If UCF/USF/Houston weren't RPI 262, 250 and 240, and instead, top 160 RPI's, imagine what that does to the league's reputation.
 
The league has to up their OOC schedule. We did it this year. SMU got left out last year because of it.
 
This year would be our first NCAA Tournament appearance in the last 10 years without SK. Just kinda funny to think about.
 
kskenyon4 said:
Mick talked it this week, the AAC and the respective universities need to invest in the bottom 3-4 teams. If UCF/USF/Houston weren't RPI 262, 250 and 240, and instead, top 160 RPI's, imagine what that does to the league's reputation.
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A lot of it comes down to budgets. Schools that are 300+ in the RPI come as cheap buy games, whereas schools like NC Central or Stony Brook know they'll be in the 100-150 RPI range and so they charge a lot more for buy games. ECU, Houston, Tulane and UCF simply can't afford to pay them for home games and at the same time don't want to lose out whatever revenue they get for hom games by playing those types of teams on the road.
 

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